Brewers vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Tuesday, August 19th

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Brewers vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Tuesday, August 19th

MIL @ CHC

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Brewers @ Cubs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 19th
Time : 19/08/25 20:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today’s game.

Sal Frelick has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 85.5-mph average to last season’s 83.3-mph average.

Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 40.8% on the season to 50% in the past week.

Sporting a 1.54 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 86th percentile.

Placing in the 96th percentile, Sal Frelick has put up a .299 batting average this year.

Joey Ortiz has been unlucky this year, posting a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .029 discrepancy.

Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Caleb Durbin has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile with a 1.38 K/BB rate.

Matt Shaw will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Shaw has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 13% in the past 14 days.

Matt Shaw’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (26.6° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 13.1° seasonal mark.

Matt Shaw has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .225 mark is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

In the majors, Wrigley Field’s LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Carson Kelly will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Carson Kelly has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year’s 91.4-mph average.

By putting up a .367 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly finds himself in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills.

When assessing his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 88.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.3-mph mark.

Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 76.2% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

William Contreras has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last 14 days.

Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes William Contreras has had bad variance on his side given the .019 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .352.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 12th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today’s matchup.

Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #4 field in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jameson Taillon will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Over the past 7 days, Andrew Vaughn’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 22.2%.

This season, Andrew Vaughn has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.4 mph compared to last year’s 92.1 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brice Turang’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage today.

Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Blake Perkins has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Seiya Suzuki has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.5% rate last season to 18.8% this season.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Game Today

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #24 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 5th-deepest right field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams on the slate today.

Against the weak defense of Chicago’s 3rd-worst infield of all teams today), Sal Frelick has a very favorable matchup given his extreme groundball tendencies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

The #4 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Joey Ortiz has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 4th-worst ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.

Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Joey Ortiz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over Caleb Durbin today.

Matt Shaw is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Matt Shaw will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Matt Shaw is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.6% rate (75th percentile).

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team in action today.

Carson Kelly’s BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Carson Kelly will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.5 mph to 87.3 mph.

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Nico Hoerner will be in a tough position today.

Nico Hoerner has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, William Contreras faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this season (1.5°) is significantly worse than his 5.1° mark last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Christian Yelich has had some very good luck this year with his .348 actual wOBA.

The Milwaukee Brewers (20.2 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Jameson Taillon didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and notched 1 Ks.

Jameson Taillon’s cut-fastball usage has dropped by 11.5% from last season to this one (25% to 13.5%) .

Jameson Taillon’s 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 25th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Vaughn in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Vaughn in today’s game.

With a .263 BABIP this year, Andrew Vaughn has performed in the 14th percentile.

10% of the time that Michael Busch has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Michael Busch pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Michael Busch has been lucky this year, notching a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .018 disparity.

Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Brice Turang’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 87.7-mph in the past week.

Brice Turang has been lucky this year, notching a .333 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .024 disparity.

Blake Perkins is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will bat from his bad side (0) today against Jameson Taillon,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Seiya Suzuki meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Seiya Suzuki generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Woodruff.

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