Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Rockies Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for righty batting average.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.

Brenton Doyle will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brenton Doyle has a ton of pop (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher AJ Smith-Shawver doesn’t generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Coors Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his home run talent, Jordan Beck ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jordan Beck has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jordan Beck has big-time power (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher AJ Smith-Shawver is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Beck.

Jordan Beck will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jordan Beck has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 18.5% seasonal rate to 45.5% over the last two weeks.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Adael Amador will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best park in the game for left-handed batting average.

The #3 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner today.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Kyle Farmer has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 85.1-mph.

In the last 14 days, Kyle Farmer’s 53.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.9%.

Kyle Farmer’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (17.1° in the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 13.6° seasonal angle.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over AJ Smith-Shawver in today’s matchup.

Ryan McMahon has big-time power (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher AJ Smith-Shawver is a pitch-to-contact type (8th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.

As it relates to his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Matt Olson projects as the 20th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Feltner in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Sean Murphy has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.6% rate last year to 25% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eli White in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Putting up a 94.2-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games, Eli White has been in great form lately.

Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.67 ft/sec this year, Eli White is remarkably toolsy.

Eli White has been hot of late, hitting 2 long-balls in the last 7 days.

When estimating his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Mickey Moniak generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver.

Mickey Moniak will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Marcell Ozuna has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season’s 92.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

In terms of his home runs, Ozzie Albies has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 15.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.4.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.

Austin Riley is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Austin Riley has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 15% rate last season to 24.6% this season.

Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Martini will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Nick Allen are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Feltner.

Nick Allen’s launch angle lately (27.8° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 18.3° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage today.

Michael Harris II has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

Out of all starters, Ryan Feltner’s fastball spin rate of 2408 rpm grades out in the 81st percentile this year.

Given the 0.34 difference between Ryan Feltner’s 7.61 K/9 and his 7.95 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression going forward.

The Atlanta Braves projected offense projects as the 4th-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in the majors for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan Feltner is an extreme flyball pitcher (34% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

The weakest projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

Bryce Elder is an extreme groundball pitcher (49% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #4 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.

Bryce Elder’s slider rate has spiked by 6.3% from last year to this one (31.5% to 37.8%) .

Bryce Elder’s 90.6-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 11th percentile among all SPs.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Colorado Rockies with a 27.9% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Michael Toglia has a ton of pop (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (33.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher AJ Smith-Shawver doesn’t generate many whiffs (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Toglia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph in recent games.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Rockies

The weather report predicts the 7th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Batting from the same side that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Brenton Doyle will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams playing today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 0%.

Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 14.5% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Brenton Doyle has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile with a 3.59 K/BB rate.

Hitting from the same side that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Jordan Beck has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.2) provides evidence that Jordan Beck has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 20.5 actual HR/600.

Using Statcast metrics, Jordan Beck ranks in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .268.

In notching a .253 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jordan Beck is positioned in the 24th percentile.

Jordan Beck’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adael Amador in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Adael Amador is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Extreme groundball batters like Adael Amador generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver.

Over the past 14 days, Adael Amador has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Adael Amador has been cold recently, posting an 84.8-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team playing today.

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Alex Verdugo has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 84.3-mph on his flyballs.

By putting up a 11.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alex Verdugo finds himself in the 20th percentile for power.

Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 13th percentile at 89.1 mph.

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Farmer ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Kyle Farmer encounters a tough challenge today.

Kyle Farmer’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.3-mph EV last season has dropped off to 85.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Over the last 14 days, Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.7°.

With a .352 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Ryan McMahon grades out in the 19th percentile.

Ryan McMahon has posted a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Matt Olson’s launch angle this year (8.2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.9° angle last year.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Sean Murphy has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sean Murphy in today’s game.

Sean Murphy has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 31.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 22.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sean Murphy has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .307 mark is considerably higher than his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eli White is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Eli White encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Eli White will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Compiling a 3.8° launch angle over the past two weeks suggests that Eli White has been finding it challenging to lift the ball recently, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Mickey Moniak is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Atlanta (#1-best on the slate today).

In the last week’s worth of games, Mickey Moniak’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.5%.

In notching a .285 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Mickey Moniak is positioned in the 19th percentile.

Mickey Moniak has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 4.6 K/BB rate.

Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna’s true offensive talent to be a .356, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .092 disparity between that mark and his actual .448 wOBA.

Marcell Ozuna has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.4-mph dropping to 91.2-mph over the past 14 days.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side against Ryan Feltner in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ryan Feltner.

Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Austin Riley encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Nick Martini is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Nick Martini’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90.4-mph mark last season has dropped to 83.1-mph.

Nick Martini’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 83.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 78.3-mph over the past week.

Nick Martini’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (-4.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 0.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Nick Allen is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Nick Allen will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Nick Allen ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Allen in today’s game.

Michael Harris II is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Michael Harris II’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

Over the last week, Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 91.6 mph to 73.9 mph.

Coors Field ranks as the #30 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ryan Feltner’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.4 mph this season (93.1 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).

Ryan Feltner was in good form in his last GS and gave up 2 ER.

Bryce Elder has averaged 15.1 outs per game per started since the start of last season, grading out in the 24th percentile.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Elder today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryce Elder in the 19th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Michael Toglia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 17.6% to 10.2%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.1) suggests that Michael Toglia has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 29.2 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Michael Toglia has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .253 figure is a good deal higher than his .222 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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