Braves vs Reds match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 2

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Braves vs Reds match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 2

ATL @ CIN

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 18th
18/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Reds Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.

Santiago Espinal has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Noelvi Marte’s 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.5%.

When estimating his home run talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 field in the game for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Sean Murphy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 13% on the season to 44.4% in the past 7 days.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Whit Merrifield has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) suggests that Whit Merrifield has been unlucky this year with his .226 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park’s LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Orlando Arcia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Orlando Arcia has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Spencer Schwellenbach.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The Atlanta Braves have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season, Great American Ball Park ranks as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Great American Ball Park’s right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today.

Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as the majors’s 20th-best home run hitter.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge in today’s game.

TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 15.5% on the season to 30% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive talent to be a .289, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .049 gap between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

When estimating his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

With a 1.13 difference between Jakob Junis’s 6.75 K/9 and his 7.88 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should positively regress the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage over Jakob Junis in today’s game… and moreover, Junis has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Schwellenbach in the 86th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Spencer Schwellenbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this matchup.

Out of all SPs, Spencer Schwellenbach’s fastball velocity of 95.5 mph ranks in the 92nd percentile this year.

Spencer Schwellenbach’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (65% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Gio Urshela has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week’s worth of games.

This season, Gio Urshela has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.7 mph compared to last year’s 87.4 mph mark.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Whit Merrifield’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Whit Merrifield has suffered from bad luck this year. His .289 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

With a 1.4 K/BB rate this year, Whit Merrifield has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ty France will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle this season (15°) is significantly higher than his 11.3° angle last year.

Orlando Arcia’s launch angle this season (9°) is significantly higher than his 5.5° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Reds Series Game 2

As it relates to his home run skill, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Santiago Espinal’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 87.6 mph to 84.1 mph.

Santiago Espinal has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 15.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 6.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the handedness advantage over Noelvi Marte in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Noelvi Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Putting up a lowly an 84.5-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks, Noelvi Marte has been in a slump in recent games.

Because of Jakob Junis’s large platoon split, Jorge Soler will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s game.

Jorge Soler has compiled a .231 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Jonathan India will have a tough challenge today.

Jonathan India hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

There has been a decrease in Jonathan India’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.3 mph last year to 87.2 mph now, Sean Murphy is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Because of Jakob Junis’s large platoon split, Sean Murphy will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sean Murphy today.

Sean Murphy’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86-mph in the last 7 days.

There has been a significant decline in Sean Murphy’s launch angle from last year’s 13° to 9.9° this year.

Spencer Schwellenbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer today.

In the past 14 days, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 87.9 mph.

Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 18.6% to 15%.

Checking in at the 16th percentile, Spencer Steer sits with a .263 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Whit Merrifield is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Jakob Junis will hold the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Junis’s large platoon split.

Whit Merrifield will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Whit Merrifield’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 84-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 76.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Ty France is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France in today’s matchup.

Ty France has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Ty France’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.5°, Ty France has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Given Jakob Junis’s large platoon split, Orlando Arcia will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Orlando Arcia has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .276 mark is quite a bit higher than his .261 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a tough challenge today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

Tyler Stephenson’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 90.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 85.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Over the last 14 days, Tyler Stephenson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Stephenson has been lucky this year. His .338 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

In today’s matchup, Elly De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

In the last week’s worth of games, Elly De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 93.7 mph to 88 mph.

Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck given the .017 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Jakob Junis will have the handedness advantage against Ramon Laureano in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Junis’s large platoon split.

Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ramon Laureano’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 5.82 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 18th percentile.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) calling pitches today.

As a result of his large platoon split, Jakob Junis will be in a good position squaring off against 7 batters in the projected lineup who share his handedness in this matchup.

Jakob Junis will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

In his last start, Jakob Junis was rolling and allowed 1 ER.

Jakob Junis’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (61.8% since the start of last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Gio Urshela is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jakob Junis will hold the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Junis’s large platoon split.

Gio Urshela will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Sporting a 9.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Gio Urshela has performed in the 15th percentile for power.

Gio Urshela has notched a .265 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

This year, Jake Fraley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Jake Fraley’s launch angle this year (10.3°) is significantly lower than his 16.3° mark last season.

Over the past week, Jake Fraley’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Jakob Junis will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Junis’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, compiling a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .048 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

TJ Friedl has compiled a .226 batting average this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 93.7-mph average last year has dropped off to 91.1-mph.

Matt Olson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 94.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83.6-mph in the past 7 days.

In the last 14 days, Matt Olson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jakob Junis to throw 76 pitches in today’s game (2nd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 10.8% on the season to 4.8% over the past week.

Checking in at the 17th percentile, Michael Harris II sports a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

As it relates to plate discipline, Michael Harris II’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 4.46 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 11th percentile.

TJ Friedl has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 25.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 14.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Schwellenbach to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (11th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s matchup.

With a 0.41 disparity between Spencer Schwellenbach’s 9.81 K/9 and his 9.40 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results the rest of the season.

Based on Statcast metrics, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 18th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .285.

Sporting a .292 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Santiago Espinal finds himself in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Posting a .266 BABIP this year, Gio Urshela grades out in the 17th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Schwellenbach in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

Spencer Schwellenbach was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) suggests that Jake Fraley has had positive variance on his side this year with his .275 actual batting average.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.1°, Whit Merrifield has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.5°) over the past two weeks.

By putting up a .269 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Orlando Arcia finds himself in the 7th percentile.

Ramon Laureano has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .250 rate is considerably higher than his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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