World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Rays Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

In the majors, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 10th-lowest average fence height.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.

Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

Curtis Mead has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Sale.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the game’s 20th-best home run batter.

Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.5% rate last year to 18.2% this year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sean Murphy has been hot of late, notching a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the last 7 days.

In the past 7 days, Sean Murphy’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 50% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Since the start of last season, Sean Murphy’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 90th percentile at 95.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 19th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split.

Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, putting up a 95.8-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks.

Marcell Ozuna’s 98.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his home run skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ozzie Albies’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14.2% to 21.4%.

Austin Riley projects as the 14th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Austin Riley has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15% rate last season to 21.9% this season.

Austin Riley’s launch angle this year (30°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.7° figure last year.

Extreme groundball bats like Orlando Arcia tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 9 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in this game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

Given that groundball hitters have a substantial edge over flyball pitchers, Chris Sale and his 33.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this matchup being matched up with 1 opposing GB batters.

Chris Sale projects as the 9th-best pitcher in baseball currently as it relates to his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chris Sale has averaged 98.2 adjusted pitches per start since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Coco Montes, Christopher Morel, Jose Caballero).

In his last outing, Chris Sale was in good form and put up 7 strikeouts.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Christopher Morel will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Chris Sale) in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today.

With a 1.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Taylor Walls has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 2.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 7.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Bryan De La Cruz has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz has exhibited some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 100.3-mph on his flyballs over the past week.

Bryan De La Cruz has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 61.9% of the time in the last 14 days.

Bryan De La Cruz has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 30.8% of the time over the past week.

Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz today.

In the last 7 days, Jarred Kelenic’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 35.3%.

Jarred Kelenic has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .292 figure is deflated compared to his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the last 7 days, Jarred Kelenic’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Shane Baz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous start, Shane Baz was in good form and accumulated 10 strikeouts.

Shane Baz’s curveball usage has jumped by 13.9% from last season to this one (20.5% to 34.4%) .

Shane Baz’s 95.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 89th percentile among all starters.

The 4th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Atlanta Braves.

It may be best to expect better results for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Shane Baz has averaged 17.3 outs per outing since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Harris II ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball batters like Michael Harris II tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Baz.

Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jose Caballero has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 14.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Coco Montes will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Coco Montes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Chris Sale… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

Jake Mangum has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Jake Mangum generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Sale.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Rays Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 6th-worst field in the majors for run-scoring.

Curtis Mead’s speed has fallen off this season. His 26.94 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.26 ft/sec now.

Sporting a .084 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Curtis Mead has performed in the 15th percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Curtis Mead’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 4.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 8th-worst park in the majors for RHB batting average.

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Junior Caminero has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last year has lowered to 6.9% this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.227) provides evidence that Junior Caminero has been lucky since the start of last season with his .250 actual batting average.

The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Matt Olson’s launch angle this year (6.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 15.9° figure last year.

The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Sean Murphy is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Murphy today.

Today, Sean Murphy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (90th percentile).

Sean Murphy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.4) provides evidence that Sean Murphy has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 23.8 actual HR/600.

There has been a significant decline in Yandy Diaz’s launch angle from last season’s 4.8° to 0.6° this year.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (-7.3° over the past week) is significantly worse than his 1.8° seasonal figure.

Danny Jansen’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Danny Jansen who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chris Sale.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Danny Jansen has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

By putting up a .337 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen is ranked in the 10th percentile.

Shane Baz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .303 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Marcell Ozuna has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .401 mark is considerably higher than his .377 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side (0) today against Shane Baz,Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz.

Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Ozzie Albies’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83-mph over the last 7 days.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 21.4% on the season to 7.1% over the past week.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Austin Riley meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley in today’s game.

Austin Riley’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 95-mph figure last year has decreased to 90.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Orlando Arcia is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Orlando Arcia will have a tough matchup today.

In today’s game, Orlando Arcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.8% rate (86th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Sale as the 14th-best pitcher in the league right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Tampa Bay Rays in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .306, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .319 this year.

Tom Hanahan projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate in today’s game.

George M. Steinbrenner Field grades out as the #24 stadium in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chris Sale today.

With a 0.48 discrepancy between Chris Sale’s 11.33 K/9 and his 10.85 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress in the future.

Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Posting a .213 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Christopher Morel finds himself in the 11th percentile.

Christopher Morel ranks in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.6% rate since the start of last season).

Sporting a .292 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Christopher Morel has performed in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Taylor Walls is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Taylor Walls hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Taylor Walls has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 14th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Compiling a lowly an 81.6-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days, Taylor Walls has been in a slump recently.

Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Shane Baz will have the handedness advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz today.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Bryan De La Cruz ranks in the 17th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .284.

In notching a .281 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Bryan De La Cruz has performed in the 16th percentile.

Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

28% of the time that Jarred Kelenic has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Jarred Kelenic will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jarred Kelenic has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Shane Baz (36% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Atlanta’s projected lineup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Shane Baz’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league currently.

Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Harris II today.

Michael Harris II’s launch angle this year (-1.4°) is considerably worse than his 7.4° figure last season.

Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 21.2% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Michael Harris II has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile with a 4.36 K/BB rate.

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jose Caballero’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (39° over the last 7 days) is considerably worse than his 45.7° seasonal figure.

Jose Caballero has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past two weeks.

Jose Caballero has notched a .278 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 21st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Coco Montes ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Coco Montes is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Coco Montes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Mangum ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

In the past 7 days, Jake Mangum’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 95.8 mph to 92.5 mph.

Jake Mangum has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last 14 days.

When estimating his home run ability, Jake Mangum ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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