Braves vs Rays match player stats | 2025 Friday, April 11th

Braves vs Rays match player stats | 2025 Friday, April 11th

ATL @ TB

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World Matchup Details

Atlanta Braves at Tampa Bay Rays

Todays Game is on Friday, April 11th
11/04/25 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Rays Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Taj Bradley in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Taj Bradley has averaged 92.5 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 10th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Taj Bradley will hold that advantage today.

Taj Bradley was on point in his previous start and put up 7 strikeouts.

The Atlanta Braves projected batting order grades out as the 5th-best of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 10th-lowest fences in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Sean Murphy’s 10% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 75th percentile among his peers.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Sean Murphy’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile at 96 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 18th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent.

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

When assessing his home run skill, Danny Jansen ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Marcell Ozuna’s 15.2% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Ozzie Albies’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Riley has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .333 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .370.

Extreme groundball hitters like Orlando Arcia generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Taj Bradley.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Bryan De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Since the start of last season, Bryan De La Cruz’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 79th percentile at 94.1 mph.

Bryan De La Cruz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.312) implies that Jarred Kelenic has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .291 actual wOBA.

Jarred Kelenic has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.7° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (88th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Harris II ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Because flyball pitchers hold a notable edge over flyball batters, Bryce Elder and his 50% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today’s outing being matched up with 3 opposing FB batters.

It may be best to expect improved performance for the Tampa Bay Rays offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game since the start of last season.

Jake Mangum will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Mangum has been hot recently, tallying a .359 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Rays

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

Given that groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Taj Bradley and his 35.5% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today’s outing facing 1 opposing GB batters.

With a 0.37 gap between Taj Bradley’s 10.14 K/9 and his 9.77 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to perform worse in future games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Taj Bradley’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 80th percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #23 park in the game for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 5th-deepest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Taj Bradley is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #22 HR venue in the majors in this game.

George M. Steinbrenner Field grades out as the #24 venue in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Junior Caminero in today’s game.

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Extreme flyball batters like Junior Caminero are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Junior Caminero has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last season has lowered to 3.8% this season.

The #7 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 7th-worst stadium in baseball for lefty batting average.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Matt Olson’s launch angle from last season’s 15.9° to 9.4° this season.

The #7 field in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Sean Murphy is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Taj Bradley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Murphy today.

Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sean Murphy in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Yandy Diaz tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Yandy Diaz’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 92.1-mph figure last season has dropped off to 88.3-mph.

Yandy Diaz’s launch angle this year (-0.9°) is significantly lower than his 4.8° mark last season.

Today, Brandon Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40% rate (97th percentile).

This season, there has been a decline in Brandon Lowe’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.19 ft/sec last year to 23.29 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Danny Jansen in today’s game.

Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

With a .140 wOBA in the past two weeks, Danny Jansen has been struggling at the plate.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) provides evidence that Marcell Ozuna has been lucky since the start of last season with his .300 actual batting average.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcell Ozuna has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .396 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .375.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Taj Bradley,Typically, hitters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Taj Bradley.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today’s game.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial ability for batting average that Ozzie Albies has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his checking in at the 9th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Taj Bradley will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today’s game.

Austin Riley’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 95-mph figure last season has dropped off to 90.7-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Orlando Arcia ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Taj Bradley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia in today’s game.

Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Orlando Arcia’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.2% rate since the start of last season).

Christopher Morel has notched a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Christopher Morel has notched a .359 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz today.

Bryan De La Cruz has been cold in recent games, putting up a .238 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games.

Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Jarred Kelenic is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (87th percentile).

Jarred Kelenic will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

This year, there has been a decline in Jarred Kelenic’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.91 ft/sec last year to 25.37 ft/sec currently.

Jarred Kelenic has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile with a 3.87 K/BB rate.

Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Harris II today.

There has been a significant decline in Michael Harris II’s launch angle from last season’s 7.4° to 0.7° this year.

Michael Harris II has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile with a 4.27 K/BB rate.

Bryce Elder will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Among all SPs, Bryce Elder’s fastball velocity of 90.4 mph ranks in the 9th percentile since the start of last season.

Bryce Elder’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (55.4% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Considering the 2.13 disparity between Bryce Elder’s 6.54 ERA and his 4.41 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and figures to perform better in the future.

Bryce Elder has compiled a .346 BABIP since the start of last season, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jake Mangum will bat from his weak side against Bryce Elder today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Mangum ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 3rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Kameron Misner is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Kameron Misner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 14th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

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