
ATL @ PHI



Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 28th
28/05/25 18:45:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Phillies Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects AJ Smith-Shawver in the 23rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.
The 5th-best projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Mark Wegner) calling pitches in today’s game.
Citizens Bank Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for AJ Smith-Shawver in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Alex Verdugo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 3rd-best home run batter.
Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers.
Hitting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.
Nick Castellanos’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Hitting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Zack Wheeler projects as the 8th-best SP in MLB right now when assessing his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zack Wheeler is projected to throw 98 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers today.
Zack Wheeler will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.
The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Atlanta Braves.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Ozzie Albies is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as the league’s 15th-best home run hitter.
Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Austin Riley projects as the 20th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over AJ Smith-Shawver in today’s matchup.
Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Extreme flyball bats like Nick Allen tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Zack Wheeler.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today’s game.
Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Extreme groundball bats like Michael Harris II are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand today.
Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Phillies Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst venue in baseball for BABIP.
Citizens Bank Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup expects the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.
In his previous GS, AJ Smith-Shawver was firing on all cylinders and gave up 2 ER.
AJ Smith-Shawver’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 81st percentile out of all SPs.
Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 ballpark in baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Verdugo in today’s game.
Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Nick Castellanos will have a tough challenge today.
The #7 park in the league for suppressing base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.
AJ Smith-Shawver will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner today.
Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Max Kepler is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
The Atlanta Braves (21.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams on the slate today.
Given that flyball hitters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Zack Wheeler and his 34.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in today’s outing squaring off against 2 opposing GB bats.
Zack Wheeler’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (56% this year) is likely harming his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Considering the 0.48 deviation between Zack Wheeler’s 11.21 K/9 and his 10.73 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression the rest of the season.
Zack Wheeler projects as the 3rd-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
AJ Smith-Shawver will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s game.
Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.
Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Zack Wheeler in this game.
Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Zack Wheeler.
Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today’s matchup.
Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Zack Wheeler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley today.
Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Brandon Marsh is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Nick Allen is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Nick Allen will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Nick Allen ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Michael Harris II is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Harris II in today’s game.
When assessing his home run talent, Bryson Stott ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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