Blue Jays vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Thursday, April 10th

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Blue Jays vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Thursday, April 10th

TOR @ BOS

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World Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Thursday, April 10th
10/04/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Red Sox Series Game 4 Matchup Today

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Because of Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#3-worst of the day).

Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Will Wagner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today’s game.

Will Wagner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 10th-strongest out of every team today.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Alan Roden will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 15th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.

Kristian Campbell has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Kristian Campbell will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme groundball batters like Anthony Santander tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup… and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Trevor Story will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

The 5th-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) behind the plate in today’s game.

Carlos Narvaez, the Red Sox’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Andres Gimenez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.

Tallying 97.4 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season on average, Chris Bassitt checks in at the 96th percentile.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Triston Casas, Trevor Story, Carlos Narvaez).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Given that flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Chris Bassitt (33.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 9th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.

Bo Bichette is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his home run ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today… and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Triston Casas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 19th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Because of Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Jarren Duran will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Jarren Duran has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nathan Lukes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.

Nathan Lukes has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Red Sox Series Game 4

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 10th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Wilyer Abreu usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the best among every team today.

Typically, bats like Will Wagner who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Walker Buehler.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Wagner today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 17th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Alan Roden is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Alan Roden will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Chris Bassitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kristian Campbell in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Walker Buehler,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Santander in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Given Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Trevor Story will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Typically, hitters like Trevor Story who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chris Bassitt.

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Alex Bregman today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

Extreme flyball hitters like Alex Bregman are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball bats, Walker Buehler and his 45.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position today matching up with 3 opposing GB bats.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Walker Buehler will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Walker Buehler in the 22nd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Walker Buehler has been given less leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 7.5 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.

The Toronto Blue Jays (16.4 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Andres Gimenez usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andres Gimenez in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chris Bassitt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The 3rd-best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bo Bichette today.

Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Walker Buehler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run skill, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Extreme flyball bats like Nathan Lukes generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.

Nathan Lukes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Considering Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 16th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

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