
TOR @ BAL



Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, July 28th
28/07/25 18:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Orioles Matchup Today
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all stadiums.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 92°.
Chris Bassitt’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.8 mph this season (90.8 mph) below where it was last season (92.6 mph).
Among all starters, Chris Bassitt’s fastball spin rate of 2148 rpm grades out in the 17th percentile this year.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Zach Eflin turned in a great performance in his last game started and conceded 2 ER.
Zach Eflin’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (68.2% vs. 62.7% last year) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Considering the 1.5 gap between Zach Eflin’s 5.78 ERA and his 4.28 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see better results in future games.
Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Zach Eflin has put up a 3.76 K/BB rate this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Orioles
The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Chris Bassitt was on point in his previous game started and conceded 1 ER.
Chris Bassitt has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .331 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Chris Bassitt has notched a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.
Zach Eflin’s 91.1-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 20th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Zach Eflin’s 2180-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 22nd percentile among all SPs.
Zach Eflin has recorded a 5.53 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher’s control) this year, checking in at the 4th percentile.
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