Blue Jays vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Friday, April 11th

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Blue Jays vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Friday, April 11th

TOR @ BAL

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World Matchup Details

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

Todays Game is on Friday, April 11th
11/04/25 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Orioles Matchup Today

Heston Kjerstad’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Heston Kjerstad will hold that advantage today.

Will Wagner’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Wagner is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Will Wagner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s game.

Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Extreme flyball bats like Will Wagner are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Alan Roden will have an edge today.

Extreme flyball bats like Alan Roden usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Alan Roden is remarkably toolsy, grading out in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.75 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis today.

Bats such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Holliday has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.

Tomoyoki Sugano will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tomoyoki Sugano in the 7th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

Toronto has been the #6 club in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (16.1% rate since the start of last season).

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Toronto Blue Jays has been 117.6 mph since the start of last season, making them the #5 squad in the game by this standard.

When estimating his home run ability, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Anthony Santander’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 114.4 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Anthony Santander has posted a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile.

Anthony Santander’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.2% to 56.3%.

When it comes to power, Anthony Santander is ranked in the 98th percentile, having hit 37 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.9% rate last year to 13.3% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 75th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Ryan Mountcastle’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Ryan Mountcastle has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last year to 16.7% this year.

As it relates to his home runs, Ryan Mountcastle has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 14.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.5.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan Mountcastle has compiled a .276 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The Barrel% of George Springer has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.3% last year to 20% this season.

George Springer has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95.2-mph average to last season’s 87.4-mph figure.

Compared to last season, George Springer has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40% to 72% this season.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .313 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .354.

Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan O’Hearn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17% to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Andres Gimenez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Andres Gimenez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97-mph average to last season’s 88.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler O’Neill will hold that advantage today.

Tyler O’Neill’s launch angle this year (23.4°) is a significant increase over his 20° angle last season.

Tyler O’Neill’s 17.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 8th-best home run batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, Tyler O’Neill is in the 98th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 34.900.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bo Bichette has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.5% rate last year to 11.1% this season.

This season, Bo Bichette has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.1 mph compared to last year’s 92 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Bo Bichette ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year’s 89.3-mph figure.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.3) suggests that Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 7.0 actual HR/600.

With a 1.51 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alejandro Kirk has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Kirk has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .290 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ernie Clement and his 19.4% rank in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Adley Rutschman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

This season, Adley Rutschman has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.1 mph compared to last year’s 89.5 mph mark.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Orioles

Heston Kjerstad is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers.

Heston Kjerstad has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

This season, there has been a decline in Heston Kjerstad’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.52 ft/sec last year to 27.33 ft/sec currently.

With a .206 wOBA in the last 14 days, Heston Kjerstad has been struggling at the plate.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Heston Kjerstad has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .301 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .270.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among every team playing today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Will Wagner in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

When it comes to his home run ability, Alan Roden ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alan Roden is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alan Roden in today’s matchup.

Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Today, Jackson Holliday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (84th percentile).

Jackson Holliday’s launch angle this season (3.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 8.4° angle last season.

Posting a .254 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jackson Holliday is positioned in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyoki Sugano in the 4th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

The Toronto Blue Jays (16.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams on the slate today.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Tomoyoki Sugano (34.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 4 FB hitters in Toronto’s projected lineup.

In his previous game started, Tomoyoki Sugano struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.

Today’s version of the Blue Jays projected offense is a bit watered down, as their .313 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .326 overall projected rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the worst field in Major League Baseball for walks.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Anthony Santander will bat from his worse side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Anthony Santander tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Anthony Santander has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.7% rate last year has decreased to 3.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Cedric Mullins has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 16.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .264 BABIP since the start of last season, Cedric Mullins grades out in the 15th percentile.

Cedric Mullins has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .320 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle’s launch angle this year (5.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.2° angle last year.

Sporting a 4.12 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ryan Mountcastle has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 15th percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, George Springer faces a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer today.

George Springer’s 9° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in baseball: 16th percentile.

Ryan O’Hearn has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Ryan O’Hearn’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.6 mph last year to 87 mph now,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Since the start of last season, Andres Gimenez’s 3.1% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 8th percentile among his peers.

Andres Gimenez’s 8.4° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the game: 12th percentile.

From last season to this one, Andres Gimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 45% to 32.3%.

Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Tyler O’Neill faces a tough challenge today.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 97.9-mph figure last season has dropped off to 94.9-mph.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler O’Neill has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .362 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Bo Bichette is ranked in the 14th percentile.

Placing in the 5th percentile for power, Bo Bichette has hit 6.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Alejandro Kirk faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alejandro Kirk today.

Alejandro Kirk has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 6.7% rate last year has fallen to 0% this year.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Tomoyuki Sugano will have the handedness advantage against Ernie Clement in today’s game.

Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Bowden Francis in today’s game.

Adley Rutschman has notched a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 20th percentile.

The Baltimore Orioles have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in this game.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bowden Francis in today’s matchup.

Bowden Francis’s 91.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.4-mph decline from last year’s 92.8-mph figure.

Bowden Francis’s fastball spin rate has fallen 126 rpm this year (2238 rpm) below where it was last season (2364 rpm).

Bowden Francis’s four-seamer usage has spiked by 6.6% from last year to this one (49.2% to 55.8%) .

In his previous start, Bowden Francis was in good form and gave up 2 ER.

Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 29.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 22.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gunnar Henderson has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 8.1° figure is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (15th percentile).

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