TOR @ SEA
Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, May 9th
09/05/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Mariners Matchup Today
T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors,— generally good for homers.
Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Addison Barger will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Addison Barger has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93-mph average to last season’s 88.1-mph average.
The #9 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
T-Mobile Park profiles as the #9 field in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Benjamin Williamson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Extreme flyball batters like Benjamin Williamson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.
Benjamin Williamson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.
Daulton Varsho is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.
Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his home run ability, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
George Springer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
The Barrel% of George Springer has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.3% last year to 16.9% this season.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run talent, Dylan Moore ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Dylan Moore’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 18% to 26.2%.
In notching a .290 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Dylan Moore is ranked in the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
In the majors, T-Mobile Park’s RF dimensions are the shallowest.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kevin Gausman today.
Kevin Gausman has been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .213 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
The 10.8% Barrel% of the Seattle Mariners grades them out as the #3 team in MLB this year by this metric.
As a team, Seattle Mariners bats have shined when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to result the most in home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking 2nd-best in the league.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kevin Gausman is projected to throw 98 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers on the slate today.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kevin Gausman in the 82nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Randy Arozarena has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98-mph average to last season’s 94.2-mph figure.
The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kevin Gausman.
Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Leody Taveras’s launch angle this season (25.2°) is a considerable increase over his 14.1° angle last season.
Leody Taveras has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), grading out in the 94th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.
Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
Rowdy Tellez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Rowdy Tellez has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 14% this year.
Rowdy Tellez’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 115.5 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average ability.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 89th percentile this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in the league.
When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 17th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bo Bichette is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Bo Bichette’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 45% to 52.4%.
Bo Bichette’s launch angle this year (10.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 7° mark last season.
Checking in at the 82nd percentile, the hardest ball Bo Bichette has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.3 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Alejandro Kirk has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.9 mph (a reliable stat to study power), grading out in the 75th percentile.
In terms of plate discipline, Alejandro Kirk’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Grading out in the 80th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Alejandro Kirk demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – an important skill for achieving a high batting average.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Jorge Polanco has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9% rate last season to 16.7% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Ernie Clement’s launch angle this year (24.1°) is significantly higher than his 16.2° angle last year.
Cal Raleigh projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Cal Raleigh has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.5% rate last season to 20.8% this year.
Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 24.8%.
When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Julio Rodriguez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
This season, Julio Rodriguez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.6 mph compared to last year’s 94 mph mark.
Julio Rodriguez projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Nathan Lukes has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Nathan Lukes’s 25.8° mark (80th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Mariners
Addison Barger is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today.
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.
The #1 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Addison Barger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his home run ability, Benjamin Williamson ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Benjamin Williamson is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst park in MLB for right-handed batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daulton Varsho in today’s game.
Daulton Varsho’s 86.1-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 9th percentile.
The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Luis Castillo… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Santander in today’s matchup.
Anthony Santander’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, George Springer will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for George Springer today.
J.P. Crawford’s 87.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB this year: 22nd percentile.
J.P. Crawford has notched a .354 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile.
Dylan Moore is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Moore in today’s matchup.
It may be wise to expect worse results for the Seattle Mariners offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in baseball this year.
The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Arozarena today.
Leody Taveras is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.5-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.5-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Rowdy Tellez’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (7.5°) is significantly worse than his 10.9° figure last season.
Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will bat from his worse side (0) today against Kevin Gausman,Extreme groundball bats like Jorge Polanco are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.
Ernie Clement is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 17th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Kevin Gausman,Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Kevin Gausman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
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