Blue Jays vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 21st

Blue Jays vs Astros match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 21st

TOR @ HOU

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros Blue Jays vs AstrosBlue Jays vs AstrosBlue Jays vs AstrosBlue Jays vs AstrosBlue Jays vs AstrosBlue Jays vs Astros

World Matchup Details

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros

Todays Game is on Monday, April 21st
21/04/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Astros Matchup Today

The #6 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge today.

Addison Barger has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, striking balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the last 7 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Addison Barger has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .254 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Alan Roden will have the upper hand today.

Alan Roden has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 2.3% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Cam Smith’s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.

Cam Smith will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Cam Smith has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.8-mph.

Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.12 ft/sec this year, Cam Smith is notably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 76th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.

Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker’s true offensive skill to be a .330, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .082 disparity between that figure and his actual .248 wOBA.

When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Anthony Santander generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Compared to last season, Anthony Santander has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.2% to 53.1% this season.

By putting up a .337 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Anthony Santander is positioned in the 78th percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Anthony Santander ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.6-mph now compared to just 85-mph then.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

George Springer has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.7-mph to 101-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#2-worst of the day).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage today.

The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Houston Astros.

The Houston Astros have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for home runs.

Kevin Gausman has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 8.9 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.

Considering the 0.6 disparity between Kevin Gausman’s 7.94 K/9 and his 8.54 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should see better results going forward.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

In the last 7 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 98.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.

Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bo Bichette has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 96.3-mph over the past week.

Compared to last year, Bo Bichette has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45% to 55.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph.

Alejandro Kirk has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .293 rate is quite a bit lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alejandro Kirk has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile with a 1.47 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ernie Clement’s launch angle this season (22.8°) is quite a bit better than his 16.2° figure last season.

Placing in the 78th percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .266 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Extreme groundball bats like Jeremy Pena usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.

Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jake Meyers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 87.9-mph.

Jake Meyers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .289 figure is a fair amount lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Hunter Brown’s overall pitching ability is in the 92nd percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

Hunter Brown has been granted an above-average leash since the start of last season, recording 5.0 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.

Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Minute Maid Park — the #10 HR venue in the league — in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown in the 83rd percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a notable advantage over flyball hitters, Hunter Brown and his 50.3% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today’s game being matched up with 3 opposing FB hitters.

Hunter Brown will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Yainer Diaz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Extreme groundball bats like Yainer Diaz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Yainer Diaz has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .315 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334.

Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Astros

Addison Barger is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Addison Barger has been pinch hit for 14% of the time.

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in Major League Baseball.

Addison Barger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Addison Barger has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the past week.

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #22 park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today.

When assessing his home run skill, Alan Roden ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alan Roden is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Alan Roden has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Extreme groundball bats like Alan Roden usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Cam Smith is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Cam Smith has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Cam Smith in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 7th-worst field in the league for right-handed batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Christian Walker meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

Christian Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

Christian Walker has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 82.7-mph over the last week.

Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 94.2-mph figure last season has lowered to 90.3-mph.

Anthony Santander’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Hunter Brown in today’s game.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP ability is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Isaac Paredes tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.

Isaac Paredes has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 84.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jose Altuve has a tough challenge today.

Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 15.7% to 7.7%.

Jose Altuve has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .321 figure is inflated compared to his .252 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, George Springer will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 15.8% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Yordan Alvarez who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kevin Gausman.

Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 14.3% on the season to 8.3% over the last 7 days.

Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Andres Gimenez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 19th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kevin Gausman was rolling in his previous start and conceded 2 ER.

Ranking in the 75th percentile, Kevin Gausman has recorded a 3.67 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

The Houston Astros (21.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams today.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Kevin Gausman (36.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in Houston’s projected lineup.

Kevin Gausman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Kevin Gausman’s high utilization rate of his fastball (58% since the start of last season) is likely weakening his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. faces a tough challenge today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Bo Bichette will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bo Bichette today.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage over Alejandro Kirk today.

Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Ernie Clement faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

When assessing his home run skill, Ernie Clement ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today.

Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 86.2-mph over the last week.

Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 12.5% on the season to 5.9% in the past 7 days.

Jeremy Pena has exhibited weak plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 16th percentile with a 3.99 K/BB rate.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers today.

Jake Meyers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Hunter Brown has a reverse platoon split and is stuck matching up with 6 same-handed batters in today’s game.

Hunter Brown has relied on his cut-fastball 11.1% less often this season (5.8%) than he did last season (16.9%).

The Toronto Blue Jays (18.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone group of batters of the day.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Kevin Gausman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today.

Yainer Diaz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Latest Houston Astros Match Player Stats

Latest Toronto Blue Jays Match Player Stats