Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Oakland at Boston Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Brent Rooker projects as the 9th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

The #3 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) calling pitches today.

JP Sears was rolling in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.

JP Sears’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2169 rpm) has been a significant increase over than his seasonal rate (2110 rpm).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sears has a large platoon split.

Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Miguel Andujar’s launch angle in recent games (18.4° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 6.5° seasonal figure.

Zack Gelof’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for LHB base hits.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Because of JP Sears’s large platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Shea Langeliers projects as the 18th-best home run batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shea Langeliers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

J.J. Bleday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

J.J. Bleday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as Major League Baseball’s 20th-best home run batter.

Tyler O’Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Tyler O’Neill will hold the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Sears has a large platoon split.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball hitters like Masataka Yoshida are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like JP Sears.

Max Schuemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Max Schuemann has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 92.5-mph.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

JP Sears’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (57.6% vs. 49.7% last season) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Considering the 1.49 deviation between JP Sears’s 6.44 K/9 and his 7.94 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should positively regress going forward.

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Romy Gonzalez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bats such as Romy Gonzalez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like JP Sears who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Nick Pivetta projects as the 18th-best starter in MLB currently as it relates to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Oakland Athletics have 6 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Schuemann, Zack Gelof, Shea Langeliers, Tyler Soderstrom, Brent Rooker, Lawrence Butler).

Because flyball hitters struggle against flyball pitchers, Nick Pivetta (38% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected lineup.

J.J. Bleday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Considering JP Sears’s large platoon split, Connor Wong will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

Miguel Andujar’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Max Schuemann’s launch angle of late (25.1° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 17.1° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brent Rooker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Zack Gelof has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year’s 92.7-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Wednesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Athletics vs Red Sox Matchup

Among all parks, the 2nd-highest fences are at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to less offense.

Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage over Brent Rooker today.

Extreme flyball batters like Brent Rooker tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Brent Rooker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Projected catcher Shea Langeliers grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 park in MLB for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.1-mph EV last year has fallen to 86.7-mph.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 86.7-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 80.7-mph over the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) implies that Connor Wong has experienced some positive variance this year with his .310 actual batting average.

Over the last 7 days, Rob Refsnyder’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Rob Refsnyder’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Rob Refsnyder’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 49.1% on the season to 14.3% in the past week.

Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rob Refsnyder has been very fortunate given the .047 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Romy Gonzalez’s 5.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the game: 10th percentile.

Romy Gonzalez has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile with a 6.42 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Miguel Andujar’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 83.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.9-mph in the past two weeks.

Zack Gelof is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Zack Gelof has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Zack Gelof will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the past week, Zack Gelof’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 24th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

This year, Tyler Soderstrom has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Tyler Soderstrom will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Tyler Soderstrom has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 15.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 5.9% in the last week’s worth of games.

Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

JP Sears will hold the platoon advantage against Masataka Yoshida today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Sears’s large platoon split.

Masataka Yoshida has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 82.7-mph in the past week.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ceddanne Rafaela has had positive variance on his side this year. His .289 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .274.

Posting a 7.87 K/BB rate this year, Ceddanne Rafaela has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage over Shea Langeliers in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shea Langeliers today.

Shea Langeliers has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 85.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.J. Bleday in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Extreme groundball batters like J.J. Bleday tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.J. Bleday today.

JP Sears will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rafael Devers today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Sears’s large platoon split.

Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .398 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the last week, Tyler O’Neill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.9% down to 0%.

Tyler O’Neill has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .366 figure is considerably higher than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) provides evidence that Tyler O’Neill has experienced some positive variance this year with his .260 actual batting average.

Max Schuemann is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Max Schuemann will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Schuemann in today’s game.

JP Sears will hold the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Sears’s large platoon split.

Jarren Duran’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 88.1-mph in the past 7 days.

Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 46.1% on the season to 24.2% in the last two weeks.

Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, notching a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .017 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-worst field in the game for strikeouts.

Given his large platoon split, JP Sears has a tough challenge being matched up with 6 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in today’s outing.

Projected catcher Connor Wong projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Pivetta’s curveball rate has fallen by 9.9% from last year to this one (25.8% to 15.9%) .

J.J. Bleday’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 86.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Max Schuemann has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .235 mark is quite a bit higher than his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Wong’s true offensive talent to be a .300, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .052 disparity between that mark and his actual .352 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Miguel Andujar’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nick Pivetta in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

The Oakland Athletics have been the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season, Brent Rooker has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .278 mark is a good deal higher than his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jarren Duran’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.