Astros @ Twins Matchup Details

Positives for the Houston Astros Game Today

Target Field projects as the #9 park in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,Given Tatsuya Imai’s large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Kody Clemens has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95.6-mph over the last 7 days.

,Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Target Field projects as the #9 park in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the opposite that Kendry Rojas throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season’s 89.9-mph figure.

,The #7 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kendry Rojas throws from, Brice Matthews will have an advantage today.

,Brice Matthews’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 19.4% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Brice Matthews has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 28.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 46.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Because of Tatsuya Imai’s large platoon split, James Outman will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,James Outman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.9) implies that James Outman has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 18.7 actual HR/600.

,James Outman’s 13.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

,Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Royce Lewis has been unlucky this year, posting a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .054 discrepancy.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.2-mph to 97.1-mph over the last 14 days.

,Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Tatsuya Imai) today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Dezenzo in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Zach Dezenzo will hold the platoon advantage against Kendry Rojas in today’s matchup.

,Over the last two weeks, Zach Dezenzo has averaged an impressive 101.3-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

,Josh Bell has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93-mph.

,Austin Martin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Austin Martin will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Austin Martin has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 90.2-mph in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Cole in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Zach Cole has been hot recently, putting up a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last 7 days.

,Zach Cole has displayed some good exit velocity benchmarks in recent games, averaging 99.7-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.

,Zach Cole has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 38.9% of the time over the past two weeks.

,Austin Martin’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Zach Dezenzo has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, posting a 29.8° angle on such balls in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Zach Dezenzo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .301 figure is considerably lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Zach Dezenzo grades out in the 84th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Kendry Rojas throws from, Christian Walker will have an edge today.

,Over the past 7 days, Christian Walker’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

,Sporting a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Christian Walker is ranked in the 78th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Considering Tatsuya Imai’s large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kendry Rojas throws from, Christian Vazquez will have an advantage today.

,Cam Smith’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cam Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kendry Rojas throws from, Cam Smith will have an edge in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Ryan Jeffers’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 111.1-mph lately.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,When estimating his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Compared to last year, Austin Martin has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.6% to 16.5% this season.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Royce Lewis’s launch angle of late (19° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 15° seasonal figure.

,There has been a significant improvement in Ryan Jeffers’s launch angle from last season’s 14.9° to 21.6° this year.

,Brooks Lee is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Tatsuya Imai… and even better, Imai has a large platoon split.

,Brooks Lee will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.261) suggests that James Outman has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .238 actual wOBA.

,Brice Matthews has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 20.8° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (93rd percentile).

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his home run skill, James Outman ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Sporting a .384 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Yordan Alvarez is positioned in the 98th percentile for hitting ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best ballpark in the majors for BABIP.

,Placing 4th-steepest in MLB since the start of last season, Minnesota Twins hitters jointly have posted a 15.6° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (an advanced metric to measure power skills).

Negatives with the Minnesota Twins Game Today

Kody Clemens’s BABIP skill is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kody Clemens is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Kody Clemens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Kody Clemens’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22.9%.

,Grading out in the 4th percentile, Kody Clemens sits with a .244 BABIP since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,In the majors, Target Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 10th-deepest.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isaac Paredes today.

,Isaac Paredes has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,In the past two weeks, Isaac Paredes’s 9.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

,Brice Matthews’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Matthews is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,The league’s 5th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.

,Brice Matthews hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,Brice Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Outman in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,James Outman is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, James Outman grades out in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .160.

,Royce Lewis’s BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Royce Lewis is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,Tatsuya Imai will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Imai’s large platoon split.

,Hitting from the same side that Kendry Rojas throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez today.

,In the last 7 days, Yordan Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.5% down to 8.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Over the past 7 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

,Grading out in the 18th percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .265 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Placing in the 8th percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .252 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Zach Dezenzo is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zach Dezenzo in today’s game.

,Over the past 7 days, Zach Dezenzo has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).

,As it relates to his home run skill, Austin Martin ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tatsuya Imai will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Martin today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Imai’s large platoon split.

,Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Austin Martin has been lucky this year, putting up a .378 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .054 deviation.

,Zach Cole is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Target Field projects as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the same side that Kendry Rojas throws from, Zach Cole will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Cole in the 6th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,The #8 stadium in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Walker in today’s game.

,Christian Walker has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 12.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Trevor Larnach has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 14 days.

,Trevor Larnach’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.5-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.8-mph over the past 14 days.

,Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trevor Larnach has experienced some positive variance given the .034 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Christian Vazquez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Christian Vazquez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Christian Vazquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,There has been a decrease in Trevor Larnach’s average exit velocity this season, from 91.1 mph last year to 86.5 mph now,The #10 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,The Minnesota Twins have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Tatsuya Imai in this game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

,Tatsuya Imai will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cam Smith in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Cam Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.7% down to 0%.

,Over the past week, Cam Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 93.2 mph to 82.2 mph.

,Cam Smith’s launch angle in recent games (-4.3° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly worse than his 12.2° seasonal figure.

,Because of Tatsuya Imai’s large platoon split, Ryan Jeffers will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

,Ryan Jeffers has been lucky this year, notching a .389 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .049 discrepancy.

,Christian Vazquez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has lowered to 81.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Brooks Lee’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 87.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 85-mph in the past 14 days.

,Brooks Lee’s launch angle in recent games (3.3° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 11° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 8th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Christian Walker’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.3-mph over the past 7 days.

,Sporting a .267 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brooks Lee grades out in the 6th percentile for hitting ability.

,Zach Cole will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,As it relates to plate discipline, James Outman’s talent is quite bad, sporting a 5.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 16th percentile.

,Brice Matthews has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Royce Lewis has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 12.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

,James Outman has notched a .233 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile.

,Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year, notching a .444 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .411 — a .033 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Josh Bell’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

,The Minnesota Twins projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

,Minnesota Twins batters jointly rank among the worst in the league this year ( 3rd-worst) as it relates to their 88.1-mph average exit velocity.

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