Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Royals Matchup Today

When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Christian Walker has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 7 days.

Christian Walker’s launch angle in recent games (22.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.9° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Isaac Paredes’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%.

As it relates to plate discipline, Isaac Paredes’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Altuve has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 85.6-mph figure.

Over the past two weeks, Jose Altuve has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 23.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Last year, Yordan Alvarez had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Salvador Perez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Last year, Salvador Perez had an average launch angle of 14.7° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.9°.

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Houston Astros offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #1 field in the league for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Seth Lugo’s curveball rate has fallen by 5.6% from last season to this one (26.3% to 20.7%) .

Seth Lugo’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 17th percentile among all SPs.

Seth Lugo is expected to throw 98 pitches in today’s game, which is the 2nd-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

Given the 1.58 disparity between Seth Lugo’s 6.30 K/9 and his 7.88 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to positively regress in future games.

Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 24%.

Mauricio Dubon has posted a .266 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Hunter Renfroe will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Hunter Renfroe’s launch angle this year (19.7°) is a considerable increase over his 16.6° angle last season.

Hunter Renfroe has really hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) rank him among MLB’s best: in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Jonathan India will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in Jonathan India’s launch angle from last year’s 13.3° to 22.4° this year.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jeremy Pena has had bad variance on his side this year. His .312 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .359.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jeremy Pena has performed in the 83rd percentile.

Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Wesneski today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Kyle Isbel’s launch angle from last year’s 8.8° to 14.8° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average skill.

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 43.7% to 50.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.0) may lead us to conclude that Bobby Witt Jr. has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 25.1 actual HR/600.

Drew Waters’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Hayden Wesneski.

Drew Waters will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 7 days, Drew Waters has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power).

In the past week, Drew Waters has posted a 29° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Maikel Garcia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batters such as Maikel Garcia with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hayden Wesneski who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Maikel Garcia has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season’s 90.4-mph mark.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.7-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage against Hayden Wesneski today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage today.

Michael Massey’s launch angle this season (20.4°) is significantly higher than his 16.7° figure last year.

Despite posting a .196 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Massey has had bad variance on his side given the .101 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz’s true offensive ability to be a .323, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .111 disparity between that mark and his actual .212 wOBA.

Posting a .289 batting average since the start of last season, Yainer Diaz is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Last year, Yainer Diaz had an average launch angle of 9.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.3°.

It may be best to expect positive regression for the Kansas City Royals offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz profiles as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hayden Wesneski today.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hayden Wesneski in the 76th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Royals

The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences among all major league stadiums — generally bad for dingers.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Isaac Paredes will have a tough matchup today.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.7% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jose Altuve will have a disadvantage today.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 15.7% to 8.2%.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #30 venue in the majors for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Salvador Perez will have a tough challenge today.

Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hayden Wesneski.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The deepest right field fences in the majors are found in Kauffman Stadium.

With 8 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Seth Lugo figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Seth Lugo will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Houston’s 90-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #30 offense in the game this year by this standard.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Houston Astros with a 20.6% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

When assessing his home run skill, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have a tough matchup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Today, Mauricio Dubon is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.9% rate (92nd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Hunter Renfroe is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Hunter Renfroe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Hayden Wesneski will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today.

In today’s game, Jonathan India is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.7% rate (78th percentile).

Over the last 7 days, Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 90.1 mph to 83.4 mph.

Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.3-mph average last season has decreased to 88.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 17th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Kyle Isbel’s BABIP talent is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

There has been a decrease in Kyle Isbel’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.1 mph last year to 83 mph now,Batting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position today.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hayden Wesneski.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 90.1-mph in the last week.

Drew Waters is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Today, Drew Waters is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (85th percentile).

Drew Waters’s speed has declined this season. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.36 ft/sec now.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Drew Waters has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 101.3-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls.

Hayden Wesneski will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia today.

Maikel Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will be challenged by MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Using Statcast metrics, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 10th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 7.800.

Maikel Garcia has compiled a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile.

Grading out in the 21st percentile, Maikel Garcia has put up a .270 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (7.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.5°.

Placing in the 8th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino has put up a .251 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Michael Massey who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hayden Wesneski.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Hayden Wesneski is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a notable edge over flyball batters, Hayden Wesneski and his 35.1% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in this game matching up with 3 opposing FB batters.

Hayden Wesneski’s 2273-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a sizeable 159-rpm jump from last year’s 2114-rpm figure.

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