Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Rays Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather of all games today at 88,°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Curtis Mead will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Curtis Mead has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Curtis Mead will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.

Junior Caminero’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Ryan Gusto will hold the platoon advantage against Junior Caminero today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Over the last 14 days, Cam Smith has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 12.5%.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Cam Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 103.1-mph of late.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Christian Walker has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days.

Christian Walker has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 97.3-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Bats such as Victor Caratini with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Over the past 7 days, Victor Caratini’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph in recent games.

Victor Caratini has posted a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (26.1° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 18.3° seasonal figure.

Isaac Paredes has put up a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 81st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Despite posting a .281 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Altuve has experienced some negative variance given the .041 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 15th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan Gusto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Danny Jansen are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The #10 venue in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Zack Littell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 8 opposing batters in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Zack Littell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his previous outing, Zack Littell performed well and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Zack Littell’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (63.6% this year) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,Generating 18.1 outs per outing this year on average, Zack Littell places in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Ryan Gusto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christopher Morel today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Ryan Gusto,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today.

Taylor Walls’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 17.3% on the season to 30% over the past week.

Jeremy Pena’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Hitters such as Jeremy Pena with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Jake Meyers’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (18.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 8.6° seasonal mark.

In notching a .301 batting average this year, Jake Meyers is ranked in the 91st percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.9) provides evidence that Jake Meyers has had bad variance on his side this year with his 8.0 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Extreme flyball batters like Yainer Diaz usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zack Littell.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Rays Series Game 2

Curtis Mead has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

George M. Steinbrenner Field projects as the #25 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Curtis Mead’s speed has decreased this season. His 26.94 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.43 ft/sec now.

Sporting a .243 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Curtis Mead is ranked in the 20th percentile.

By putting up a 4.64 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Curtis Mead has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Curtis Mead sports a .066 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Extreme flyball bats like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

Junior Caminero’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.3°) is considerably worse than his 9.3° mark last season.

Junior Caminero’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (-2.2° in the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 3.3° seasonal mark.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.4) may lead us to conclude that Junior Caminero has had some very good luck this year with his 27.1 actual HR/600.

Cam Smith is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Zack Littell will have the handedness advantage over Cam Smith in today’s game.

Cam Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Cam Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Cam Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 13.2% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Christian Walker’s BABIP skill is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Christian Walker will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

By putting up a 3.64 K/BB rate this year, Christian Walker has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

George M. Steinbrenner Field projects as the #25 park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Victor Caratini today.

Victor Caratini’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 91.2-mph mark last year has fallen to 87.6-mph.

Victor Caratini’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 15.5% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Isaac Paredes has a tough challenge today.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.1% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Isaac Paredes generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Littell.

Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Isaac Paredes’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 85.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 82.5-mph in the last two weeks.

Zack Littell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve today.

Over the past 14 days, Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 90.1 mph to 79 mph.

Jose Altuve’s launch angle in recent games (1° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.1° seasonal mark.

Bats such as Yandy Diaz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Gusto who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Yandy Diaz has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (-4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 2.8° seasonal figure.

Posting a .246 BABIP this year, Yandy Diaz finds himself in the 17th percentile.

Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Gusto today.

Brandon Lowe has posted a .273 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Brandon Lowe has compiled a .212 batting average this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Danny Jansen’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Danny Jansen is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Danny Jansen’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 86.7-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.7-mph in the past 14 days.

Over the last two weeks, Danny Jansen’s 8.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Danny Jansen has notched a .327 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, checking in at the 9th percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Zack Littell in the 16th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) behind the plate in today’s game.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Zack Littell (36.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 3 GB hitters in Houston’s projected lineup.

The #4 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

In today’s matchup, Christopher Morel is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.8% rate (96th percentile).

Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.7-mph EV last year has fallen off to 91.5-mph.

Checking in at the 24th percentile, Christopher Morel sports a .288 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Checking in at the 8th percentile, Christopher Morel has notched a .250 BABIP since the start of last season.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Christopher Morel has posted a .358 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Josh Lowe will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Josh Lowe’s footspeed has fallen off this season. His 28.45 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.44 ft/sec now.

Josh Lowe has displayed weak plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile with a 3.56 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Taylor Walls is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Taylor Walls’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Taylor Walls’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (8.6°) is considerably lower than his 16.9° mark last season.

Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.3-mph mark last year has dropped off to 88.6-mph.

Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 88.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 85.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Jake Meyers has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Today, Jake Meyers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (83rd percentile).

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Jake Meyers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.5 mph to 85.4 mph.

Batting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup.

In notching a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Yainer Diaz is positioned in the 23rd percentile.

Yainer Diaz has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 4th percentile with a 7.04 K/BB rate.

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