Astros vs Padres match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Series Game 2

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Astros vs Padres match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Series Game 2

HOU @ SD

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 17th
17/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #4 park in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.

Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height among all parks.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jose Altuve’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Petco Park grades out as the #4 park in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The San Diego Padres projected batting order profiles as the 5th-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Petco Park projects as the #4 field in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hunter Brown today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 19th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Sporting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Yainer Diaz grades out in the 80th percentile for offensive skills.

Yainer Diaz has notched a .306 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 97th percentile, Yainer Diaz has put up a .304 batting average this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.9) implies that Yainer Diaz has had bad variance on his side this year with his 16.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Victor Caratini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Victor Caratini has posted a .270 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Victor Caratini has posted a .332 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Bats such as Kyle Higashioka with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Grading out in the 90th percentile, Victor Caratini sports a .282 batting average this year.

Jeremy Pena has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 90.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael King in the 93rd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Throwing 95.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Michael King falls in the 90th percentile.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

With a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jeremy Pena is positioned in the 86th percentile.

Ranking in the 84th percentile, Jeremy Pena sits with a .276 batting average this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors.

Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Over the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 21.4%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Michael King today.

Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 44.4% on the season to 55.3% in the past two weeks.

Michael King projects as the 20th-best starting pitcher in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 95.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Hunter Brown falls in the 90th percentile.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.5°.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past 7 days, Jurickson Profar’s 72.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Jurickson Profar has put up a .357 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Tucker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.

Kyle Tucker’s launch angle recently (27.3° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 22.1° seasonal figure.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Manny Machado’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 28.6%.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve’s launch angle in recent games (24.9° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

Jose Altuve has put up a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Victor Caratini’s ability is quite strong, posting a 2.14 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 79th percentile.

Donovan Solano’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 48.9% on the season to 14.3% in the past 7 days.

By putting up a .335 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Donovan Solano grades out in the 83rd percentile.

Xander Bogaerts has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV.

Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, notching a .298 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .031 deviation.

Donovan Solano’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 15.5% on the season to 23.5% in the last 14 days.

Alex Bregman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (20.9° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 13° seasonal mark.

Alex Bregman has been unlucky this year, notching a .325 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .017 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19.2°, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 39.5° figure over the last 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Mauricio Dubon has posted a .270 batting average this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Padres Series Game 2

Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.

Jake Cronenworth has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.4-mph over the last two weeks.

Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Hunter Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle of late (2.6° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 9.7° seasonal angle.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle in recent games (5.8° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 10.5° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Brennan Miller) in charge of the strike zone today.

Victor Caratini, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hunter Brown is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Petco Park — the #4 HR venue among all major league parks — in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Mauricio Dubon has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Manny Machado encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

The #5 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Alex Bregman will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.1-mph in the past 7 days.

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Victor Caratini will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Victor Caratini’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Kyle Higashioka has been pinch hit for 21% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Hunter Brown will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Higashioka in today’s game.

Donovan Solano has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Donovan Solano will have a tough matchup today.

The #5 field in the game for suppressing base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Michael King will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Hunter Brown in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Jackson Merrill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.

Jurickson Profar has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

When it comes to his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.3°, Luis Arraez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) over the past two weeks.

Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 3.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 1.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, Luis Arraez’s 1.8% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Houston Astros with a 17.7% underlying K%.

Michael King’s 92.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.3-mph drop off from last year’s 93.5-mph figure.

Michael King’s fastball spin rate has dropped 113 rpm this season (2282 rpm) below where it was last year (2395 rpm).

With a 0.44 gap between Michael King’s 10.63 K/9 and his 10.19 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.7% to 11.9%.

In today’s matchup, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (76th percentile).

Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Kyle Tucker has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 41.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 34.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to power, Luis Arraez has performed in the 1st percentile, having paced 3.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 20% on the season to 8.3% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill’s true offensive talent to be a .331, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .014 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .345 wOBA.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 93.7 mph to 88.1 mph.

The 3rd-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Houston Astros.

The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Yordan Alvarez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (12.8°) is significantly worse than his 15.8° figure last season.

With a .293 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Xander Bogaerts finds himself in the 25th percentile for hitting ability.

In the last week, Kyle Higashioka’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

Michael King will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

When estimating his home run ability, Donovan Solano ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez’s launch angle recently (6.2° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 18.2° seasonal mark.

Jake Cronenworth has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.5% underlying K%.

Hunter Brown has used his slider 21.2% less often this season (3.9%) than he did last year (25.1%).

Considering the 0.05 disparity between Hunter Brown’s 9.57 K/9 and his 9.52 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in the future.

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats

Latest Houston Astros Match Player Stats