Astros vs Padres match player stats Monday, September 16th 2024. Houston Astros at San Diego Padres

|
Astros vs Padres match player stats Monday, September 16th 2024. Houston Astros at San Diego Padres

HOU @ SD

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Astros vs PadresAstros vs PadresAstros vs PadresAstros vs PadresAstros vs PadresAstros vs Padres

Todays Matchup Details

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres

Todays Game is on Monday, September 16th
16/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Padres Matchup Today

The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Petco Park.

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

Jake Meyers’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (23.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 12.1° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Meyers has experienced some negative variance this year. His .285 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

In the past 14 days, Alex Bregman has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 18.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.8°.

Donovan Solano’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Jake Meyers’s BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 rate is quite a bit lower than his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yu Darvish in the 86th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.

The #8 field in the majors for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Petco Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Jon Singleton will have an edge today.

Jon Singleton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

When assessing his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jon Singleton has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 31.6% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 17th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena has recorded a .274 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 11th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Yainer Diaz has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 16.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 20.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Arrighetti has averaged 92.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti performed well in his last outing and allowed 2 ER.

Spencer Arrighetti’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (59.5% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Spencer Arrighetti has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 4.72 rate is a fair amount higher than his 4.20 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Xander Bogaerts has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 90.7-mph in the past two weeks.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today.

The 2nd-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Houston Astros.

The Houston Astros have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Sporting a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Donovan Solano is ranked in the 87th percentile.

Jurickson Profar has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year’s 86.5-mph average.

Jon Singleton has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 92.7-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Arrighetti in the 84th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 22°, Kyle Tucker has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.4° angle over the past two weeks.

Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

With a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Yainer Diaz finds himself in the 80th percentile for offensive skills.

Based on Statcast data, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 98th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .306.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Padres

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.

Batting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Jake Meyers has a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Meyers today.

Over the past two weeks, Jake Meyers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Petco Park profiles as the #26 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Batting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Alex Bregman will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

Donovan Solano has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Donovan Solano has a tough challenge today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Donovan Solano’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 90.2 mph to 75.9 mph.

Yu Darvish will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 89.1-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Yu Darvish to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Houston Astros with a 19.2% underlying K%.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Over the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 86.5-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

18% of the time that Jon Singleton has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Kyle Higashioka has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Spencer Arrighetti will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Higashioka in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Spencer Arrighetti today.

Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last year has dropped off to 87.6-mph.

In terms of his home runs, Luis Arraez has been lucky this year. His 3.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 0.9.

When it comes to power, Luis Arraez is ranked in the 1st percentile, having hit 3.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle lately (2.2° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 9.8° seasonal figure.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jon Singleton in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts today.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.3-mph figure last year has dropped off to 89.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

In the past week, Luis Arraez’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill’s true offensive ability to be a .332, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .015 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5% in the past 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 93.7 mph to 87 mph.

The #5 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 17.7% to 12%.

In today’s game, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (75th percentile).

Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 91.1-mph in the last 7 days.

Kyle Higashioka has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 12.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

The San Diego Padres projected offense profiles as the 3rd-strongest of the day in terms of overall offensive ability.

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz profiles as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 23rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Yu Darvish’s overall pitching talent is in the 81st percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Yu Darvish will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his previous outing, Yu Darvish turned in a great performance and gave up 2 ER.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the San Diego Padres with a 18.5% underlying K%.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Arrighetti today.

Considering the 1.01 deviation between Spencer Arrighetti’s 10.80 K/9 and his 9.79 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform worse going forward.

As it relates to his home run ability, Donovan Solano ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Arrighetti has compiled a .325 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats

Latest Houston Astros Match Player Stats