Astros vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Tuesday, April 8th

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Astros vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Tuesday, April 8th

HOU @ SEA

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World Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, April 8th
08/04/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Mariners Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all parks.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 80%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams playing today.

Notching a 95.2-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games, Cameron Smith has been in great form recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Brendan Rodgers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Putting up a 94.4-mph average exit velocity in the last week, Brendan Rodgers has been in great form of late.

Brendan Rodgers has been lifting the ball well recently, notching a 27° launch angle in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Framber Valdez in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Tallying 95.4 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season on average, Framber Valdez falls in the 91st percentile.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Lance Barrett) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best field in MLB for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Framber Valdez as the 15th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now.

The #2 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

When assessing his home run talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Framber Valdez in this game.

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Mitch Garver is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Mitch Garver will have an edge today.

Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.4% up to 17.4%.

Jeremy Pena’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers has been hot in recent games, posting a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Posting a 94.6-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games, Jake Meyers has been in great form of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game’s 16th-best home run hitter.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Framber Valdez.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league.

Yainer Diaz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Yainer Diaz has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 20.4° angle.

Ryan Bliss will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

Ryan Bliss has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ryan Bliss will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Mariners Series Game 2

Cameron Smith is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Cameron Smith has been pinch hit for 16% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the majors for run-scoring.

T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Cameron Smith will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #28 field in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cameron Smith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Christian Walker will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Ranking in the 22nd percentile, Christian Walker has posted a .272 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Christian Walker has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 5% of the time in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Brendan Rodgers has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .316 mark is a good deal higher than his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Isaac Paredes will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past two weeks.

Ranked in the 6th percentile, Isaac Paredes’s average exit velocity of 85.3 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Jose Altuve will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jose Altuve has been cold in recent games, notching a 78-mph average exit velocity in the last week’s worth of games.

Jose Altuve has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 4.5% of the time over the past 14 days.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because flyball batters hold a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Framber Valdez and his 58.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in today’s outing squaring off against 0 opposing GB bats.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF fences in the majors.

Framber Valdez has a large reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 8 opposite-handed hitters in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez today.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #28 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, J.P. Crawford encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

J.P. Crawford’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 86.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 79.5-mph over the past 7 days.

Randy Arozarena has put up a .210 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In notching a .221 batting average since the start of last season, Randy Arozarena has performed in the 15th percentile.

This year, there has been a decline in Jorge Polanco’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 25.36 ft/sec currently.

Hitting the ball to all fields is an important talent for batting average that Jorge Polanco has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his placing in the 7th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Utilizing Statcast data, Mitch Garver grades out in the 18th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .285.

A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Mitch Garver’s 30° mark (14th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.

Grading out in the 18th percentile, Mitch Garver has put up a .283 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Grading out in the 12th percentile, Mitch Garver has notched a .339 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena’s 7.4° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 8th percentile.

By putting up a 4.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeremy Pena has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 12th percentile.

In the last 14 days, Jeremy Pena’s swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 26.1% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Jake Meyers is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Meyers in today’s matchup.

Cal Raleigh has put up a .256 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Cal Raleigh has put up a .226 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Julio Rodriguez has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile with a 3.68 K/BB rate.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Posting a lowly an 83.8-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Yainer Diaz has been in a slump of late.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Bliss ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan Bliss is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Ryan Bliss has been cold lately, putting up a .224 wOBA in the last 14 days.

This year, there has been a decline in Ryan Bliss’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.55 ft/sec last year to 28.04 ft/sec currently.

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