World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Cardinals Matchup Today

Thomas Saggese’s BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the majors, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Thomas Saggese will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage today.

Thomas Saggese has been hot of late, tallying a .457 wOBA over the past 7 days.

Victor Scott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In the past week’s worth of games, Victor Scott’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph of late.

Victor Scott has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, striking balls between 23° and 34° 22.2% of the time in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.282) suggests that Victor Scott has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cameron Smith in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

In the last 7 days, Cameron Smith’s maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 110.6-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.14 ft/sec this year, Cameron Smith is very fast.

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Christian Walker’s maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.

Christian Walker has recorded a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Willson Contreras will have an edge today.

Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his strikeout talent, Sonny Gray projects as the 13th-best starter in the majors right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 8 batters of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Sonny Gray figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Sonny Gray will hold that advantage today.

Out of all SPs, Sonny Gray’s fastball spin rate of 2515.4 rpm ranks in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Sonny Gray’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 92nd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

Tallying 17.6 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Sonny Gray checks in at the 89th percentile.

The #2 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season’s 89.2-mph average.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Isaac Paredes has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season’s 89-mph figure.

Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 39.7% to 50%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Isaac Paredes has posted a 25.3° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Ranking in the 87th percentile, Jose Altuve has posted a .350 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Jose Altuve has posted a .302 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Framber Valdez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

As a team, St. Louis Cardinals hitters have shined when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 2nd-best in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Framber Valdez in the 81st percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Framber Valdez has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Framber Valdez has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this game.

Over his last 3 starts, Framber Valdez has put up a staggering 21 strikeouts.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The Barrel% of Jeremy Pena has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 13.2% this year.

Jeremy Pena’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.6-mph now compared to just 88.1-mph then.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) implies that Jake Meyers has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .287 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luken Baker in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Luken Baker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Luken Baker will have an edge today.

Extreme groundball bats like Luken Baker usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Luken Baker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Pedro Pages will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.

Brendan Donovan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.

Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Yainer Diaz has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 7.6% rate last year to 14.3% this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.337) suggests that Yainer Diaz has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .319 actual wOBA.

Ranking in the 94th percentile, Yainer Diaz has posted a .291 batting average since the start of last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.4) provides evidence that Yainer Diaz has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 15.4 actual HR/600.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz has been hot recently, posting a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Cardinals

Thomas Saggese is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Thomas Saggese has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Victor Scott is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Framber Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Victor Scott in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Victor Scott generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Cameron Smith is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Cameron Smith has been pinch hit for 17% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground in MLB — generally bad for HRs.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Cameron Smith will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Sonny Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Walker today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Walker today.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

There has been a decrease in Willson Contreras’s average exit velocity this season, from 91.6 mph last year to 85.4 mph now,Willson Contreras has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.2% rate last year has fallen off to 3.7% this year.

The Houston Astros (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup of the day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the worst venue in MLB for strikeouts.

Sonny Gray’s sinker usage has risen by 6.8% from last season to this one (17.8% to 24.6%) .

Sonny Gray has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 10.95 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.41 — a 0.54 K/9 disparity.

The Houston Astros have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,As a team, Houston Astros hitters have performed well when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 6th-best in Major League Baseball.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado’s launch angle this season (9.9°) is significantly lower than his 16.8° mark last year.

In the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 45% to 29.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Isaac Paredes will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.6% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

Sonny Gray will have the handedness advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Framber Valdez as the 11th-best starter in MLB right now.

The underlying talent of the St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup today (.314 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be significantly weaker than their .335 wOBA this year.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.288) implies that Yordan Alvarez has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .302 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sonny Gray will have the handedness advantage against Mauricio Dubon in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Jeremy Pena has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Sonny Gray will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers in today’s game.

Jake Meyers has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Framber Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lars Nootbaar in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 94.4-mph EV last year has dropped to 89.8-mph.

Luken Baker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 11th percentile for Sprint Speed at 24.92 ft/sec this year, Luken Baker is very slow.

Luken Baker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pedro Pages is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

This season, there has been a decline in Pedro Pages’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.91 ft/sec last year to 24.42 ft/sec currently.

Framber Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Donovan in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (86th percentile).

Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 17% to 10.9%.

Jordan Walker is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jordan Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9.5% rate last year has fallen off to 3.4% this season.

Jordan Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 86-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Jordan Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 41.4% to 31%.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Yainer Diaz has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

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