MLB Award Props

Blake Von Hagen is here to get you updated on Aaron Judge's odds to win AL MVP honors and where he'll be playing on Opening Day of next season.

Two of the biggest superstars in MLB are not only on a collision course for the American League MVP, but Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge are about to create quite a stir in the offseason as well.

Judge rejected a seven-year, $213.5 million extension offer from the Yankees on the eve of Opening Day before eventually avoiding an arbitration hearing last month. He settled on a $19 million salary for the 2022 season, but he can add $250,000 with an AL MVP and another $250,000 with a World Series MVP.

The star slugger is currently listed as the +110 ‘chalk’ to win AL MVP honors at offshore sportsbook BetOnline. He is set to reach free agency this winter, which could create some record-breaking bids from MLB teams.

While other squads could offer a deal that makes Judge the highest-paid player in baseball, offshore sportsbook Bovada expects the Yankees to retain their star. New York is listed as a -290 favorite to have Judge on its roster for Game 1 of the 2023 season, while the Giants are +325 and the Dodgers are +950. Other teams listed in the prop market include the Cubs (10-1), Mets (12-1) and Red Sox (12-1).

Judge is certainly extracting as much value as he possibly can, leading the majors in home runs (30) while ranking inside the top five in RBIs, OPS and slugging percentage. He is the -130 favorite to lead the MLB in home runs this season, currently sitting three homers ahead of Kyle Schwarber (+200) and four ahead of Yordan Alvarez (+600).

Ohtani, meanwhile, is right behind Judge in the AL MVP market with +135 odds. His future with the Angels is even more complicated than Judge’s contract situation with the Yankees.

Ohtani’s two-year, $8.5 million deal expires at the end of the season, leaving him eligible for a final year of salary arbitration. However, he will effectively enter the process as two players, a pitcher and a hitter. For more on that complex situation, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic wrote a detailed piece.

The Angels will likely have to shell out record money in order to keep Ohtani on the roster. However, Los Angeles already owes Mike Trout $35.45 million annually through 2030, while third baseman Anthony Rendon is owed a guaranteed $38 million annually through 2026.

Owner Arte Moreno is already shelling out a career-high payroll of $188.6 million this season, and the Angels are projected to miss the playoffs again. Regardless, Bovada expects Ohtani to remain with the team next season, listing the Angels at -250 to have him on the roster to open the 2023 campaign.

Other teams that could be in the mix for Ohtani include the Dodgers and Yankees, who are both priced at +450. There are only a limited number of teams in the majors that could afford to pay Ohtani what he will command on the open market, with the Mets (+650) and Red Sox (+850) among them.

He is third in the AL Cy Young odds at +500, trailing Shane McClanahan (+215) and Justin Verlander (+250). Sandy Alcantara is the +100 ‘chalk’ to win the NL Cy Young, while Corbin Burnes is +475 and Joe Musgrove is 10-1.

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