This week’s college football card offers a couple of nice spots in primetime games that I’ll be looking to capitalize on. As always, follow along on Twitter for all my plays, but here’s a breakdown of two of the spots I find to be the strongest.
USC vs. Utah: Utah -3.5 (-110)
USC is getting some hype coming into this one, and it makes sense from a standpoint that it moves the ball through the air and is at home. However, everything else points in Utah’s direction here.
The Utes move the ball on the ground with Zack Moss, and I think they’ll be able to continue controlling the game that way. Utah has a fantastic defense, and the front seven should be able to put a lot of pressure on the USC passing attack.
I mentioned Utah’s defense, which is coming off a shutout of Idaho State, but the only real test it had this season was against BYU in the opener. Utah won that game on the road 30-12, forcing BYU into its worst performance of the season.
USC played at BYU just last week, dropping that game by three points in OT after closing as a 4.5-point favorite. I wrote up Utah ‘over’ nine wins as one of my favorite props before the season, and am sticking behind the Utes tonight.
Georgia vs. Notre Dame: Georgia -14 (-110)
I got in first thing this week on Georgia -13.5, but I still like it at -14. Georgia is the real deal, and has put up 118 total points over the last two weeks, covering huge numbers against far lesser programs.
Neither of these teams have been tested, but Louisville was able to cover +19 against ND in the first game of the season.
As good as the Bulldogs are, though, this is more of a fade of the Irish. As an Independent school, the Fighting Irish generally skates by without playing any big games, and this should be a wake-up call.
The last time Notre Dame took down a top-five team was back in 2005. We saw Brian Kelly’s team look like it didn’t even belong on the field against Clemson in the College Football Playoff semifinals last year, losing 30-3.
The Irish has lost 10 straight to top-five teams, losing eight of those games by 13 points or more. Five of those losses were by 20 or more points. The Bulldogs will roll at home and prove a point.