History suggests Lawrence won’t win ROY honors

DraftKings has Atlanta TE Kyle Pitts with 11/1 odds to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors.

Oddsmakers did not have to think too hard when it came to picking the favorite for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award.

Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence is viewed as a sure-thing prospect. He only lost four games during his entire high school and college career, throwing for 90 touchdowns in three seasons with Clemson.

Lawrence is currently listed as the +350 ‘chalk’ to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award, according to BetOnline. If he comes out hot to open the season, he could be favored against the field in no time.

He is going to have to buck some historical trends if he is going to win the award, though. The No. 1 draft pick has only won the award three times in the last 39 years. Kyler Murray (2019), Cam Newton (2011) and Sam Bradford (2010) each did so.

BetOnline has Trey Lance (+550), Justin Fields (+650) and Mac Jones (+750) listed with the next-shortest odds. Zach Wilson is priced at 10/1, despite being one of the two “locks” to be a Day 1 starter in the NFL.

Sunset Station Casino has taken early action on Atlanta tight end Kyle Pitts, according to Todd Dewey of the Las Vegas Review-Journal. Pitts is 10/1 at BetOnline and 11/1 at DraftKings.

“Pitts goes to an ideal situation, to a team that has two of the best wideouts in the league in Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley,” Sunset Station sportsbook director Chuck Esposito told the Las Vegas Review-Journal. “He’ll be a mismatch underneath and a big target in the red zone as well. He could flourish in that Atlanta scheme.”

Pittsburgh running back Najee Harris has dropped from 20/1 to 10/1 at William Hill after taking some early betting action. He is also 10/1 at DraftKings, while BetOnline has Harris at 12/1.

On the other side of the ball, Dallas linebacker Micah Parsons has opened as the +400 ‘chalk’ to win the Defensive Rookie of the Year award. Parsons, who was the No. 12 pick, was the favorite prior to the draft as well.

Miami defensive end Jaelan Phillips was the first edge defender taken in the draft and is listed at +750. The Dolphins no longer have Kyle Van Noy, so Phillips might end up being the best pass rusher on the roster. Miami head coach Brian Flores blitzed the second-most of any team in the NFL last season, which will give Phillips plenty of opportunities.

Washington rookie linebacker Jamin Davis is also in the mix at +700. The former Kentucky star tallied 102 total tackles, 4.0 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks and 3 interceptions last season.

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