Many pro sports bettors are worried that sportsbooks will begin limiting NFL Draft props due to the value that is available.
For now, the prop opportunities are plentiful. ESPN’s Doug Kezirian — host of “Daily Wager” — hit big this year. He risked $3,500 on Tyson Campbell to be the first safety taken in the draft, winning $297,800.
Kezirian partnered with a pro bettor in Vegas, according to Todd Dewey of the Las Vegas Review-Journal. He made the bets on the Monday night prior to the draft, utilizing the self-serve kiosks at the Bellagio.
Campbell opened with 100/1 odds to be the first safety off the board. Kezirian hit the prop multiple times for $200 each, because he knew the kiosks would not accept wagers that paid out more than $25,000.
“I just bet it multiple times and spread it out over the span of like 90 minutes,” Kezirian told the RJ. “I bet a bunch at 100/1, and then the odds started to move. When they moved it to 50/1, I stopped. When I came home, it was 25/1, and by morning Campbell was removed from the index.”
Most sportsbooks had Campbell listed as a cornerback, but he was a safety for the BetMGM prop. His draft position opened at 60.5 and closed at 46.5 at Circa Sports.
Trevon Moehrig closed as the -450 favorite to be the first safety off the board. He wound up closing with a draft position of 28.5, but he was not selected until the Raiders took him with pick No. 43. Campbell went to Jacksonville with the first pick of the second round.
“It was just a perfect storm of the safety position not being a high priority to teams and the Raiders being the Raiders and drafting a third-round tackle in the first round,” Kezirian told Dewey. “The whole thing was a whirlwind. Moehrig dropping was key.”
Kezirian initially had some trouble cashing the tickets because there was some confusion regarding Campbell’s position. However, the Bellagio did pay him in full.
He did not mention his bet on air on “Daily Wager,” but he did mention value on Campbell before the draft started. There were five cornerbacks selected in the first round, but no safeties.
“With no national combine over the last two years, it’s been hard for bookmakers to wrap their heads around the huge variance,” Kezirian told The Action Network. “It’s why draft analysts have struggled as well.”