During Justin Wilcox’s five-year tenure at California, the Golden Bears have produced enormous amounts of profits for their backers. They’ve been especially effective as road underdogs, going 2-0 against the spread in a pair of such spots this year.
Cal lost a 34-32 decision at TCU, but it easily covered the number as an 11.5-point underdog. Wilcox’s team lost 31-24 in overtime at Washington on Sept. 25, but it took the cash again as a 7.5-point ‘dog.
Cal owns an incredible 12-1 ATS record in its last 13 games as a road underdog. In 27 total ‘dog spots (home or away) on Wilcox’s watch, the Golden Bears are 20-7 ATS with 12 outright wins. They’re 8-3 ATS with four outright victories in 11 games as double-digit ‘dogs.
Furthermore, Cal has compiled a 5-0 spread record with three outright wins in its last five as an underdog, including last year’s 21-17 win over Oregon as a nine-point home puppy.
Oregon is 1-4 ATS this year and its only win by more than seven points over an FBS foe was a non-covering 41-19 home win over Arizona as a 30-point favorite. The Ducks are dealing with injuries galore at the RB position, the LB position and in the secondary.
RB CJ Verdell was lost to a season-ending injury in a 31-24 overtime loss at Stanford two weeks ago. Verdell had run for 397 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.2 yards per carry. He also had nine catches for 83 yards and two TDs.
Cal has lost by more than seven points just once this year. I like the Golden Bears catching the big number.