I’m on Fresno St. +11 at UCLA tonight and Arkansas St. +17.5 at Washington in a 4:15 p.m. Eastern kickoff.
Fresno St. is 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread. The Bulldogs’ lone defeat came at Oregon by a 31-24 score. They led 24-21 with eight minutes left despite coughing up three lost fumbles.
Fresno St. had a 23-20 advantage over the Ducks in first downs and a 373-258 advantage in total yards. The Bulldogs have wins (and comfortable spread covers as huge favorites) over Cal Poly by a 63-10 count and over UConn by a 45-0 score.
Jake Haener has been outstanding for Fresno St. at QB, throwing eight TD passes without an interception, in addition to rushing for three TDs. He has one of the nation’s top group of WRs. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs.
We’ve got the QB advantage and we’re catching a double-digit underdog number with a team that badly wants to get back the win it feels got away from them against the Ducks in Eugene.
Arkansas St. is 5-2 ATS in seven games as a road underdog. The Red Wolves beat Central Arkansas 40-21 before losing a shootout to Memphis last weekend by a 55-50 count.
Former FSU QB James Blackman threw for 306 yards and four TDs without an interception. The Red Wolves are second in the nation to date in passing yards, averaging 450.5 yards per game.
They’re fifth in total yards (597.5 YPG). Butch Jones is playing Blackman and last year’s starter, Layne Hatcher, who has completed 35-of-50 throws (70.0%) for 426 yards and five TDs without an interception. In 23 career games, Hatcher has an incredible 51/12 TD-INT ratio.
Washington is 0-2 after losing 13-7 to Montana as a 22.5-point home favorite and 31-10 at Michigan as a 6.5-point road underdog. The Huskies are ranked No. 129 out of 130 FBS teams in scoring with an 8.5 points-per-game average. They’ve scored 17 points in eight quarters and are favored by 17.5? Let’s go with the underdog that could be live.