Not too much stands out to me in NFL Week 6, but there are two spots that I’d consider my strongest plays. Here’s what I’m looking at betting:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (London): UNDER 47.5
Heads up here with the early 9:30 a.m. ET. kick. I locked this one in at 48.5 earlier in the week and posted it to Twitter, but I think the under at 47 or higher is worth playing.
For starters, these teams could obviously come out sluggish — we saw that happen with the Bears and Raiders last week, and this game kicks off three and a half hours before that one.
It should take these teams a bit to get into the flow of the game. The ‘under’ is 6-2 in the last eight London games.
But this is also a divisional game between two NFC South opponents that’ve already squared off this season. The ‘under’ has hit in six of the last seven matchups between these two, including an easy ‘under’ back in Week 2.
Meeting for the second time this season only means two teams that already know each other well will only be more familiar, especially just a month after the first meeting. Christian McCaffrey has been one of the most unique weapons in the NFL this season, but this elite Tampa run defense is the only one to shut him down so far.
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers: LAR -3
This sets up as a perfect spot for the Rams, who desperately need a victory, following a pair of losses. The Rams sit at 3-2, while the 49ers and Seahawks have combined for just one loss. Todd Gurley’s absence could lead the public to continue backing the 4-0 Niners, but this will by far be their toughest task. Gurley’s absence shouldn’t mean much, with capable backups.
The 49ers have beat the Bucs, Bengals and Steelers, before blowing out an overrated Browns squad on MNF. The Rams have had 10 days off since a narrow defeat in Seattle on TNF, while the Niners have had just six days off since their primetime win.
San Francisco will be missing two offensive linemen and their fullback, which will hurt in the run game, which was so dominant against Cleveland. It’ll also hurt in pass protection, which is never good when facing Aaron Donald. Rams should dig deep and win this one big.