Cam Newton, the NFL’s Most Valuable Player in 2015, finally has a new team after being released by the Carolina Panthers on March 24. Newton signed a one-year contract with the New England Patriots on Sunday night.
The incentive-laden deal could be worth up to $7.5 million if Newton, who turned 31 in May, can reach all of the incentives.
He passed a physical in March and previous injuries to his shoulder and foot “checked out well,” according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter’s sources.
Newton will compete with 11-year veteran Brian Hoyer and 2019 fourth-round draft pick Jarrett Stidham for the Patriots’ starting QB job. Undrafted rookie quarterbacks J’Mar Smith and Brian Lewerke out of Louisiana Tech and Michigan State, respectively, will also be at training camp.
Newton played in just two games for the Panthers last season, completing 50-of-89 passes (56.2%) for 572 yards with zero touchdowns and one interception. He had negative two yards on five rushing attempts.
Newton missed the rest of the 2019 campaign with a foot injury. He also missed the final two games of the 2018 season with a shoulder injury that required surgery.
In 2015 when he led Carolina to the Super Bowl, Newton connected on 59.8 percent of his throws for 3,837 yards with a 35/10 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He also had 636 rushing yards and 10 TDs with a 4.8 yards-per-carry average.
Newton has rushed for more career TDs (58) than any QB in NFL history. For his career, Newton has completed 59.6 percent of his passes for 29,041 yards with a 182/108 TD-INT ratio. He has 4,806 rushing yards with a 5.1 YPC average.
Since Tom Brady signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as a free agent, most betting shops have had New England with 25/1 odds to win the Super Bowl. With Newton’s signing, Caesars adjusted the Patriots from 25/1 to 20/1 and moved their odds to win the AFC from 10/1 to 9/1.
Covers’ Patrick Everson reported that PointsBetUSA’s second-biggest liability for the prop to where Newton would land was New England at +650 odds. The biggest wager the shop took on the Patriots was only $300, though. The Chargers were PointsBetUSA’s largest liability.
Everson also reported that PointsBetUSA moved the Patriots from +140 to win the AFC East to +115 ‘chalk.’ Buffalo had previously been the division’s +110 favorite, but the Bills are now the AFC East’s second choice at +130 odds.
The Westgate SuperBook had Newton with 300/1 odds to win NFL MVP honors. The Westgate’s Executive Manager of Operations, Derek Wilkinson, told Everson that Newton is now at 40/1. However, a sharp gambler got the 300/1 price for $100 (to win $30,000) before the SuperBook’s adjustment.
FanDuel currently has New England with the sixth-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl at 17/1. Kansas City is the +650 ‘chalk,’ followed by Baltimore at 7/1. Then there’s the 49ers (9/1), Saints (12/1), Buccaneers (15/1) and Cowboys (17/1).
FanDuel has the Patriots at +700 to win the AFC and +100 to win the AFC East. Buffalo is at +160 to win the AFC East, followed by the Jets (7/1) and Dolphins (+750).
New England’s season win total is 9.5 flat (-110 either way) at FanDuel. The betting shop also has a prop wager between New England and Tampa Bay for most regular-season wins. The price is -110 either way, with the designation that all 16 games must play for the bet to stand.
FanDuel is also offering adjusted season win totals for all teams. Therefore, if you’re extremely bullish on the Patriots, you can take them ‘over’ 11.5 wins for a +360 return. On the flip side, bettors can also play New England ‘under’ 7.5 wins for a +250 payout.
FanDuel also has a Yes/No prop for teams to make the playoffs. ‘Yes’ for the Patriots is -230, while ‘No’ nets a +184 return. These bets are action even if the season is shortened, but they void if the season is cancelled or there aren’t seven playoff teams per conference.
Newton’s MVP odds are 32/1 at FanDuel, where Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes is the +380 favorite.
FanDuel has Ben Roethlisberger as the +260 ‘chalk’ to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Newton is at +340, followed by Tampa Bay tight end Rob Gronkowski (+420).
FanDuel has the Patriots a 6.5-point home favorites at a -115 price vs. Miami (-105) in Week 1. The total is 43.5 points, while New England is -290 on the money line vs. the ‘Fins (+240).