The college football betting market believes we got our first real “Heisman Moment” of the season.
Ohio State freshman quarterback CJ Stroud torched Michigan State for 432 passing yards and six touchdowns before sitting out most of the second half. DraftKings moved Stroud from +170 to -200 to win the Heisman Trophy following that performance.
Alabama quarterback Bryce Young, who was the +160 ‘chalk’ entering the week, did his best to maintain his advantage, but a record-setting day still wasn’t enough. Young broke the Alabama single-game passing record in a win over Arkansas, completing 31 of 40 attempts for 559 yards and five touchdowns.
He is now listed at +150, which makes this is a two-man race heading into the final week of the regular season. Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral (22/1) and Michigan State running back Kenneth Walker III (28/1) are no longer legitimate contenders for the award.
Speaking of legitimate contenders, the betting market is still looking at just three teams to compete for the College Football Playoff championship. Top-ranked Georgia remains at -155 to win the title, while Ohio State (+310) and Alabama (+465) are the other two teams in the mix.
Circa Sports has Georgia lined as a 4-point favorite over the Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship game. The Big Ten title spots are still up for grabs, but Ohio State is an 8-point favorite to beat Michigan on Saturday and book its spot. The Buckeyes are listed at -225 to win the conference.
The real intrigue heading into the final week of the regular season is who the fourth team in the College Football Playoff is going to be. If Alabama beats Georgia in Atlanta, that virtually locks up three spots (Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State). However, a Georgia win could potentially create chaos for the committee.
They could be choosing between undefeated Cincinnati, one-loss Notre Dame and two-loss Alabama for the final two spots. The Bearcats would likely get in under that scenario—they currently have the fourth-shortest title odds at DraftKings (35/1).
There is also the potential of a one-loss Big 12 champion in Oklahoma or Oklahoma State. The Sooners are currently 45/1 to win the CFP, while the Cowboys are 50/1. Circa Sports lists Oklahoma State as the -150 favorite to win the Big 12.