Cool mornings, hot afternoons and big bets — all signs that football season is right around the corner.
BetMGM has taken several large wagers on NFL conference winners. The largest one reported by VSiN’s Ben Fawkes is on Seattle at 14/1 to win the NFC.
The MGM bettor put $17,857 on Seattle, hoping for a $250,000 payday. Pete Carroll’s team enters the season with the fifth-shortest odds to win the conference. However, DraftKings has the Seahawks listed behind San Francisco and Los Angeles to win the NFC West.
San Francisco is the +180 ‘chalk’ to win the division, while the Rams are +190. Seattle is sitting behind them at +275 and Arizona brings up the rear at +650.
Fawkes also reported a $10,000 wager on New England to win the AFC at 18/1. The Patriots are expected to be a middling team this year — their season win total is 9.5. They are +350 to win the AFC East, as Buffalo is a -150 favorite.
Miami is also listed at +350, so Bill Belichick has his work cut out for him. If the Patriots were to win the AFC, the bet would pay $180,000.
Another notable conference bet is on Minnesota, where a bettor has $5,000 on the Vikings at 25/1 to win the NFC. They have the eighth-shortest odds in the conference and will have to overcome Tom Brady and the Bucs (+275).
Minnesota (+250) is listed behind Green Bay (-160) in the NFC North market. The wager has a chance to pay out $125,000, but the bettor is likely hoping for a hedge opportunity in the playoffs.
While those three teams are garnering some attention to win their respective conferences, one team is not getting any action.
BetMGM has taken 77% of bets and 99% of money on Houston to miss the playoffs, despite having a heavy -1600 price tag. Quarterback Deshaun Watson is currently listed fourth on the unofficial depth chart and is not practicing with the team.
The chances of Watson playing this season appear to be small, which leaves the Texans in a bind. Their roster is not good outside of their star quarterback, so bettors are taking advantage of what they see as ‘free money.’