Baylor’s inauspicious return from its three-week COVID-19 layoff has led to an adjustment in the college basketball betting market.
The Bears were +250 ‘chalk’ last week at DraftKings, but they are now +275 co-favorites with Gonzaga. BetOnline has made a much more drastic adjustment, bumping Baylor all the way down to +500 to win the NCAA Tournament.
It was not a good week for the Bears—they snuck past Iowa State and then suffered their first loss of the season at Kansas on Saturday night. Gonzaga is the +250 ‘chalk’ at BetOnline, while Michigan now has the second-shortest odds at +350.
Circa Sports is more aligned with BetOnline at the top of the market, listing Gonzaga at +230, Michigan at +410 and Baylor at +650.
The Wolverines are +375 at DraftKings after picking up a 73-57 win over Indiana on Saturday. Regardless, all three teams are -10000 to get a No. 1 seed on Selection Sunday, according to DraftKings.
The fourth No. 1 seed is going to be heavily contested this week and next week. Alabama currently has the best odds to snag it at +200. The Crimson Tide finish the regular season with games against Auburn and Georgia. They also have a double-bye as the top seed in the SEC Tournament.
Florida State is also in contention for a No. 1 seed at +350. The Seminoles are coming off a costly loss to North Carolina, but they are still atop the ACC.
Houston, Ohio State and Villanova are all priced at 4/1. The Buckeyes were in the driver’s seat for the final top seed before losing their third straight game to Iowa on Sunday afternoon. Houston will need some things to break its way, as its resume is not going to be as convincing due to strength of schedule.
Illinois is another team that could make a late dash for a No. 1 seed. The Illini are 5/1, but they have games against Michigan and Ohio State coming up this week. They are currently the fourth No. 1 seed in the latest bracket projection from Jerry Palm of CBS. Brad Underwood’s team also leads the country in Quad-1 wins with eight.
Villanova has the fourth-best title odds behind Baylor, Gonzaga and Michigan. The Wildcats are listed at 11/1, while Iowa (13/1), Ohio State (15/1) and Texas (17/1) are the next teams listed.
BetOnline has slightly different prices, as Houston and Iowa are tied for the fourth-shortest odds at 16/1.