MLB Player match stats positives for Minnesota at Cleveland Friday Matchup

This game is expected to have the 5th-most humidity of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Carlos Santana has been hot of late, hitting 3 HRs in the last week.

Carlos Santana has hit 27.7 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 84th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.

Among every team today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Triston McKenzie throws from, Alex Kirilloff will have an advantage in today’s game.

Alex Kirilloff has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Alex Kirilloff has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .254 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .286 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Simeon Woods Richard.

Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Very few of Willi Castro’s balls in play have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making easy pop-up outs. His 20.9% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 75th percentile.

Willi Castro has put up a .286 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Tyler Freeman’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Freeman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Tyler Freeman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Minnesota Twins hitters as a group grade out 2nd- in the game for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 10.3% Barrel%.

Minnesota’s 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #2 group of hitters in the game since the start of last season by this standard.

Estevan Florial will have the handedness advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today’s matchup.

Estevan Florial will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Triston McKenzie in today’s matchup.

Posting a 26.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Trevor Larnach is positioned in the 82nd percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Will Brennan is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.

Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.

Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bo Naylor has experienced some negative variance given the .051 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Will Brennan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In notching a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, Willi Castro has performed in the 87th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand today.

Josh Naylor will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Triston McKenzie throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today’s game.

Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edouard Julien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Triston McKenzie throws from, Edouard Julien will have an edge today.

Edouard Julien has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ryan Jeffers’s 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Placing in the 99th percentile, the hardest ball Ryan Jeffers has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.4 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand today.

Kyle Manzardo has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Manzardo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) implies that Carlos Correa has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .236 actual batting average.

Carlos Correa’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 114.2 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.4° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the majors.

Carlos Correa has been hot lately, putting up a .348 wOBA in the past 7 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Carlos Correa has had bad variance on his side this year. His .348 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351.

Tyler Freeman has compiled a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his batting average, Estevan Florial has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .209 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .231.

With a .351 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Kirilloff grades out in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills.

Alex Kirilloff has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 18.6° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (86th percentile).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Edouard Julien ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach’s 97-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Trevor Larnach and his 23% rank in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Twins vs Guardians Matchup for Friday

Carlos Santana’s BABIP skill is projected in the 0th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Santana is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Triston McKenzie today.

The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among all the teams playing today.

Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Andres Gimenez’s speed has fallen off this season. His 29.24 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.76 ft/sec now.

Ranked in the 1st percentile, Andres Gimenez’s average exit velocity of 84.8 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

When it comes to power, Andres Gimenez grades out in the 15th percentile, having hit 5.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Alex Kirilloff has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 29% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Kirilloff today.

Grading out in the 14th percentile, the hardest ball Alex Kirilloff has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.7 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Jose Ramirez has hit 24.4% of his balls in the air at least 100 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Jose Ramirez has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), placing in the 4th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Sporting a .221 BABIP this year, Jose Ramirez is ranked in the 10th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Triston McKenzie in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willi Castro in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willi Castro’s true offensive ability to be a .297, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .039 disparity between that figure and his actual .336 wOBA.

Ranked in the 12th percentile, Willi Castro’s average exit velocity of 86.6 mph ranks among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

When it comes to plate discipline, Willi Castro’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 4.04 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 21st percentile.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the Cleveland Guardians offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Simeon Woods Richardson has a large reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 7 opposite-handed batters today.

The 5.2% Barrel% of the Cleveland Guardians makes them the #30 offense in the game since the start of last season by this stat.

Cleveland’s 87.4-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is one of the worst in baseball: #30 overall.

Tyler Freeman has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Tyler Freeman has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Tyler Freeman’s 3.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

Ranked in the 21st percentile, Tyler Freeman’s average exit velocity of 86.3 mph ranks among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Freeman ranks in just the 13th percentile with a 5.9° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

Using Statcast metrics, Carlos Santana grades out in the 19th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .295.

Carlos Santana and his 7.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 20th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Minnesota Twins offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.

Triston McKenzie will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Estevan Florial ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Estevan Florial is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Estevan Florial has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

In today’s matchup, Estevan Florial is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (91st percentile).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (2.4) may lead us to conclude that Estevan Florial has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 10.8 actual HR/600.

Trevor Larnach has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 41% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Trevor Larnach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trevor Larnach in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.64 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.1 ft/sec now.

24% of the time that Will Brennan has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Today, Will Brennan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (92nd percentile).

Since the start of last season, Will Brennan’s 2.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.

Will Brennan’s 85.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 5th percentile.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Will Brennan and his 10.8% rank in the 3rd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 11th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Bo Naylor is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, there has been a decline in Bo Naylor’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.39 ft/sec last year to 25.91 ft/sec currently.

Bo Naylor has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .242 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Bo Naylor has recorded a .216 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.

When it comes to his home run skill, Will Brennan ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (3.2) suggests that Will Brennan has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 9.2 actual HR/600.

This season, there has been a decline in Willi Castro’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.59 ft/sec last year to 27.83 ft/sec currently.

Despite posting a .378 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Naylor has been lucky given the .038 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Kepler today.

Max Kepler’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 27.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.23 ft/sec now.

Max Kepler has been lucky this year, compiling a .387 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .060 disparity.

26% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Edouard Julien will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Edouard Julien has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.9 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), ranking in the 17th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Simeon Woods Richardson to throw 85 pitches today (8th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Triston McKenzie will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s game.

Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) implies that Ryan Jeffers has been lucky since the start of last season with his .280 actual batting average.

This season, there has been a decline in Josh Naylor’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.8 ft/sec last year to 24.79 ft/sec currently.

Ryan Jeffers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 30.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 21.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Kyle Manzardo has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

With a .177 wOBA over the last 14 days, Kyle Manzardo has been struggling at the plate.

Kyle Manzardo is not very toolsy, placing in the 4th percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.46 ft/sec this year.

Batting from the same side that Triston McKenzie throws from, Carlos Correa meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Carlos Correa and his 11.8% rank in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Estevan Florial in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Estevan Florial’s speed has dropped off this year. His 29.26 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.49 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 17th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Alex Kirilloff has been cold lately, struggling to the tune of a .276 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.9) provides evidence that Alex Kirilloff has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 17.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston McKenzie to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (4th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

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Twins vs Guardians Match Player Stats Friday May 17th Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Twins vs Guardians match player stats Friday, May 17th pre matchup. Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians player predictions