
DET @ ARI






MLB Player match stats positives for Detroit at Arizona Friday Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
The #4 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Torkelson has had bad variance on his side given the .050 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.
Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Wenceel Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .362.
As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Ryne Nelson’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 25th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.
It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Detroit Tigers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Gabriel Moreno, the D-Backs’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Sporting a 34.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Spencer Torkelson is positioned in the 96th percentile for power.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.299) suggests that Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .188 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Riley Greene is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Chase Field projects as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Blaze Alexander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today.
Kevin Newman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s game.
The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tarik Skubal in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.282) provides evidence that Javier Baez has been unlucky this year with his .167 actual batting average.
Colt Keith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson today.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Mark Canha is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Tarik Skubal.
Ranking in the 81st percentile, Mark Canha has notched a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Colt Keith has been unlucky this year, putting up a .197 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .101 gap.
Jake Rogers has strong power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (32.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ryne Nelson is a pitch-to-contact type (5th percentile K%) — great news for Rogers.
Jake Rogers’s 12% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Sporting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kevin Newman is ranked in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today’s game.
Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .216 rate is considerably lower than his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
When estimating his strikeout skill, Tarik Skubal projects as the 4th-best starting pitcher in the majors currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In his previous GS, Tarik Skubal was rolling and posted 7 strikeouts.
Tarik Skubal’s 95.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 95th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Generating 18.4 outs per game per started this year on average, Tarik Skubal checks in at the 94th percentile.
When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Rogers ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Throwing 95.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Ryne Nelson ranks in the 92nd percentile.
Ryne Nelson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 6.11 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.84 — a 0.73 K/9 discrepancy.
Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to plate discipline, Gabriel Moreno’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 77th percentile.
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Tigers vs D-Backs Matchup for Friday
Among all major league parks, Chase Field’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.
Ranking in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy outs. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.
Placing in the 22nd percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has put up a .249 BABIP this year.
Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Spencer Torkelson will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
When it comes to power, Spencer Torkelson is ranked in the 19th percentile, having hit 5.8 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
Chase Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the game for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Wenceel Perez in today’s game.
Wenceel Perez has been lucky this year, posting a .362 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .056 disparity.
By putting up a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Eugenio Suarez is ranked in the 25th percentile.
Eugenio Suarez has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 24th percentile with a 3.79 K/BB rate.
Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
With a 8.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno finds himself in the 11th percentile for power.
Gabriel Moreno’s 4.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
Gabriel Moreno’s 4° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in MLB: 4th percentile.
Ryne Nelson will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.
Ryne Nelson’s cutter utilization has increased by 5.7% from last season to this one (14.8% to 20.5%) .
Among all starters, Ryne Nelson’s fastball velocity of 94.5 mph grades out in the 77th percentile this year.
Ryne Nelson has been unlucky since the start of last season, compiling a 5.31 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.76 — a 0.55 disparity.
The #1 field in the game for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Javier Baez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage against Javier Baez in today’s matchup.
Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Riley Greene hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Riley Greene today.
Sporting a .273 BABIP since the start of last season, Spencer Torkelson grades out in the 20th percentile.
When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Randal Grichuk has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 35% of the time.
Since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 23rd percentile at 90.4 mph.
The standard deviation of Randal Grichuk’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.4°) is in the 23rd percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.
This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.99 ft/sec currently.
Sporting a 11.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Ketel Marte has performed in the 19th percentile for power.
Ketel Marte grades out in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).
Blaze Alexander is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.
When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Blaze Alexander has been pinch hit for 38% of the time.
Blaze Alexander has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Despite posting a .329 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Blaze Alexander has experienced some positive variance given the .035 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.
When estimating his home run talent, Kevin Newman ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kevin Newman is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
Kevin Newman has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 27% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
Kevin Newman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Kevin Newman’s 2.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tarik Skubal as the best starter in Major League Baseball right now.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers’s expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
Due to his reverse platoon split, Tarik Skubal will be at an advantage facing 8 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side in today’s outing.
In his previous start, Tarik Skubal turned in a great performance and gave up 2 ER.
This season, there has been a decline in Javier Baez’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.15 ft/sec last year to 27.44 ft/sec currently.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time.
Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
With a .197 wOBA over the past two weeks, Colt Keith has been struggling at the plate.
When starting against a northpaw this year, Kerry Carpenter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kerry Carpenter in today’s matchup.
Kerry Carpenter’s speed has fallen off this season. His 28.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.51 ft/sec now.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) may lead us to conclude that Kerry Carpenter has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .276 actual batting average.
Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage over Mark Canha in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mark Canha in today’s game.
Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Canha has been very fortunate given the .025 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.
Since the start of last season, Mark Canha’s 4.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.
Since the start of last season, Kevin Newman’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 11th percentile at 87.1 mph.
Christian Walker grades out in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Jake Rogers is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jake Rogers has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time.
Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Rogers today.
Riley Greene’s 6.5° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 11th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kerry Carpenter’s true offensive talent to be a .323, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .027 gap between that figure and his actual .350 wOBA.
Tarik Skubal has used his sinker 10.9% more often this season (23.1%) than he did last season (12.2%).
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Ryne Nelson in the 15th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.
Ryne Nelson has compiled an 8.4% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile.
With a .277 wOBA over the past two weeks, Eugenio Suarez has been struggling at the plate.
As it relates to his home run talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tigers vs D-Backs Match Player Stats Friday May 17th Detroit Tigers at Arizona Diamondbacks Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Tigers vs D-Backs match player stats Friday, May 17th pre matchup. Detroit Tigers at Arizona Diamondbacks player predictions
