MLB Player match stats positives for Cincinnati at Los Angeles Friday Matchup

The #1 field in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, James Outman will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.262) suggests that James Outman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .243 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #1 venue in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dodger Stadium has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 14th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.177) may lead us to conclude that Will Benson has experienced some positive variance this year with his .194 actual batting average.

Will Benson’s 94.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

It may be wise to expect better results for the Cincinnati Reds offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for home runs.

James Paxton’s 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.7-mph decline from last season’s 94.6-mph mark.

When it comes to his home runs, Mike Ford has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 36.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 44.4.

Mike Ford has notched a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Ford’s 17.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Mookie Betts’s 12.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Frankie Montas in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Stuart Fairchild will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today’s matchup.

Stuart Fairchild has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 18.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge today.

Shohei Ohtani will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup ranks as the best of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.

Frankie Montas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

When assessing his home run talent, James Outman ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, notching a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .053 deviation.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jeimer Candelario will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against James Paxton in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Tyler Stephenson’s 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Ford, Will Benson, Stuart Fairchild, Elly De La Cruz).

James Paxton has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.17 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.10 — a 2.94 K/9 deviation.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage today.

Elly De La Cruz’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) has been 119.2 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile.

With a .360 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Elly De La Cruz finds himself in the 84th percentile.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Ford ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Throwing 97.9 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Frankie Montas falls in the 98th percentile.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Teoscar Hernandez, James Outman, Chris Taylor).

Frankie Montas has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.20 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.57 — a 1.37 K/9 difference.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) suggests that Gavin Lux has had bad variance on his side this year with his .237 actual wOBA.

Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Tyler Stephenson and his 48.2% since the start of last season rank in the 93rd percentile by this measure.

As it relates to his batting average, Teoscar Hernandez has experienced some positive variance this year. His .243 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .229.

Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez’s 13.8% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers.

As it relates to his batting average, Will Smith has been very fortunate this year. His .315 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Will Smith and his 19.9% rank in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

James Outman and his 17° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

Posting a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, James Outman is ranked in the 78th percentile.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 11th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run talent, Mike Ford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Will Benson and his 47.3% since the start of last season rank in the 83rd percentile by this measure.

Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.45 ft/sec this year, Will Benson is remarkably quick.

Jonathan India will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, Jonathan India ranks in the 75th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342.

Spencer Steer will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today’s game.

Spencer Steer grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).

When it comes to his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.251) suggests that Will Benson has been lucky this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his home run ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Stuart Fairchild is very fast, grading out in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.18 ft/sec this year.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Reds vs Dodgers Matchup for Friday

James Outman’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Outman is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

James Outman has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the schedule today.

James Outman pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Frankie Montas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Freddie Freeman’s quickness has decreased this season. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.14 ft/sec now.

Gavin Lux is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

With a .237 wOBA over the last 14 days, Gavin Lux has been struggling at the plate.

Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage over Mookie Betts today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Will Benson is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

James Paxton will hold the platoon advantage against Will Benson today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Benson in today’s game.

James Paxton has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in this matchup.

James Paxton will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

James Paxton was in good form in his previous start and allowed 0 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Ford in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Mike Ford is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that James Paxton throws from, Mike Ford encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against James Paxton, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .369 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .053 deviation.

In notching a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Elly De La Cruz is positioned in the 18th percentile for hitting ability.

Despite posting a .461 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Shohei Ohtani has been lucky given the .061 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .400.

Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, compiling a .432 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .377 — a .055 disparity.

Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Elly De La Cruz’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.53 ft/sec last year to 29.88 ft/sec currently.

Stuart Fairchild is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Stuart Fairchild in today’s game.

Ranked in the 17th percentile, Stuart Fairchild’s average exit velocity of 85.9 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Stuart Fairchild has compiled a .291 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Frankie Montas in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, Over his last 3 GS, Frankie Montas has experienced a substantial jump in his fastball velocity: from 94 mph over the whole season to 95.1 mph in recent games.

The Los Angeles Dodgers jointly rank 29th- overall in MLB since the start of last season as far as the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.

James Outman has been cold of late, limping his way to a .243 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Santiago Espinal’s 1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeimer Candelario in today’s matchup.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a core ability for batting average that Jeimer Candelario has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his placing in the 11th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tyler Stephenson ranks in just the 18th percentile with a 8.6° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.

James Paxton has relied on his four-seam fastball 6.8% more often this year (62.6%) than he did last season (55.8%).

Out of all SPs, James Paxton’s fastball spin rate of 2121 rpm is in the 15th percentile this year.

James Paxton has compiled an 8.3% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.

Grading out in the 7th percentile, James Paxton has put up a 14.6% Strikeout% this year.

Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Will Smith will have a tough matchup today.

Since the start of last season, Will Smith’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) ranks in the 24th percentile at 90.5 mph.

Stuart Fairchild has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), checking in at the 17th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India’s speed has decreased this season. His 27.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.34 ft/sec now.

Checking in at the 15th percentile, Jonathan India sits with a .119 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Frankie Montas has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 54% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Frankie Montas posted an 8.8% Swinging Strike% this year.

In terms of plate discipline, Teoscar Hernandez’s talent is quite bad, posting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 22nd percentile.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Ford in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Will Benson’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 23rd percentile.

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Reds vs Dodgers Match Player Stats Friday May 17th Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Game Predictions, Players odds, Friday lines and Betting Trends
Reds vs Dodgers match player stats Friday, May 17th pre matchup. Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers player predictions