MLB Player match stats positives for San Diego at Arizona Sunday Matchup

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 12° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Eugenio Suarez has a ton of pop (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matt Waldron has a pitch-to-contact profile (17th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .258 figure is a fair amount lower than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.94 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 78th percentile.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year’s 25.68 ft/sec to 26.77 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Blaze Alexander’s BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Very few of Ha-seong Kim’s balls in play have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid hitting into easy pop-up outs. His 20.9% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 75th percentile.

Over the past 14 days, Blaze Alexander has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .387.

Ketel Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Manny Machado has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is a fair amount lower than his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in this game.

Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his metrics across the board.

Ryne Nelson’s cut-fastball percentage has spiked by 7.2% from last year to this one (14.8% to 22%) .

Ryne Nelson’s 94.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 80th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Considering the 0.72 gap between Ryne Nelson’s 6.14 K/9 and his 6.86 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to positively regress going forward.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .340 mark is considerably lower than his .365 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Matt Waldron must realize this, because he has utilized his secondary offerings a lot this year: 62.9% of the time, ranking in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today’s game.

The 6.4% Barrel% of the Arizona Diamondbacks ranks them as the #28 team in the game since the start of last season by this metric.

Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .299 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .294 figure is quite a bit lower than his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Luis Arraez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .318 figure is inflated compared to his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.

Jurickson Profar has been hot of late, cruising to a .401 wOBA in the last two weeks.

By putting up a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jurickson Profar has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Padres vs D-Backs Matchup for Sunday

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in MLB.

Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado today.

This season, there has been a decline in Manny Machado’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.25 ft/sec last year to 25.58 ft/sec currently.

Manny Machado grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Ha-seong Kim is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Ha-seong Kim encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ha-seong Kim today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

This year, Jake McCarthy has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Chase Field grades out as the #29 stadium in the game for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jake McCarthy has averaged 1.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team in action today.

Using Statcast metrics, Eugenio Suarez is in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .224.

Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Christian Walker will not have the upper hand today.

Christian Walker ranks in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).

Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in the game for RHB home runs.

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Jurickson Profar has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Ryne Nelson, Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Today, Jake Cronenworth is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (78th percentile).

Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

This year, there has been a decline in Jake Cronenworth’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.28 ft/sec last year to 27.1 ft/sec currently.

Jake Cronenworth’s 4.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Cronenworth’s 89.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s speed has decreased this season. His 27.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.14 ft/sec now.

Jake McCarthy is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of San Diego (#1-best of all teams today).

Blaze Alexander is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Blaze Alexander will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

In today’s game, Blaze Alexander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (83rd percentile).

Blaze Alexander has been lucky this year, putting up a .387 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .090 discrepancy.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today.

Luis Arraez has averaged 6.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Arraez’s 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 1st percentile, the hardest ball Luis Arraez has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 104 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joc Pederson’s true offensive talent to be a .351, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .064 difference between that figure and his actual .415 wOBA.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Matt Waldron in today’s game.

Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.7 ft/sec currently.

Ketel Marte is in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 17.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryne Nelson in the 15th percentile among all starters in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Ryne Nelson to have a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

The San Diego Padres (17.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams today.

Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to easy pop flies. His 14.5% “too-high” rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Matt Waldron in the 20th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

Luis Campusano, the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Matt Waldron will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Corbin Carroll has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

This season, there has been a decline in Corbin Carroll’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.05 ft/sec last year to 29.06 ft/sec currently.

The standard deviation of Corbin Carroll’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.8°) is in the 14th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Matt Waldron in the 21st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

The #2 park in MLB for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

This season, there has been a decline in Jake McCarthy’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.96 ft/sec last year to 28.85 ft/sec currently.

Corbin Carroll has been cold in recent games, putting up a .251 wOBA in the past 7 days.

By putting up a .267 BABIP since the start of last season, Christian Walker finds himself in the 15th percentile.

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Padres vs D-Backs Match Player Stats Sunday May 5th San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Game Predictions, Players odds, Sunday lines and Betting Trends
Padres vs D-Backs match player stats Sunday, May 5th pre matchup. San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks player predictions