MLB Player match stats positives for Baltimore at St. Louis Wednesday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as baseball’s 15th-best home run batter.

Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Using Statcast data, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 33.700.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage over John Means in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an advantage in today’s game.

Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has had bad variance on his side given the .057 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

Kyle Stowers has strong power (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (30.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson has a pitch-to-contact profile (9th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.

Baltimore’s 89.4-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the elite in the game: #5 overall.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that John Means throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage against John Means in today’s game.

Jorge Mateo has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 BA is deflated compared to his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Looking at the top 5% of Jorge Mateo’s batted balls by exit velocity, their 109.2 mph average places him among the league’s elite, ranking in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.89 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is quite athletic.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that John Means throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ryan Mountcastle has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .255 mark is quite a bit higher than his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Ryan Mountcastle’s 12% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, tallying a .398 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Mike Siani hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Siani tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like John Means.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Siani will hold that advantage today.

Ivan Herrera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 20.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Colton Cowser has been hot lately, cruising to a .372 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Cedric Mullins II’s 21.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 99th percentile.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson has been hot recently, notching 2 homers over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Cracking 4 HRs over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman has been on fire of late.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, St. Louis Cardinals hitters collectively rank among the best in the league since the start of last season (5th-) in regard to their 89.4-mph average exit velocity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jordan Westburg has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jordan Westburg has put up a .286 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jordan Westburg’s 90.2-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in MLB since the start of last season: 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) implies that Ryan Mountcastle has been lucky this year with his .315 actual wOBA.

Over the last 14 days, Alec Burleson has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .346.

Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 16.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Gorman’s 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 93rd percentile at 95.6 mph.

Nolan Gorman’s 22° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 99th percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ryan Mountcastle has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.6 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), checking in at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Since the start of last season, Mike Siani’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 97th percentile at 98.7 mph.

Adley Rutschman has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .355 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Adley Rutschman has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .304 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Nolan Arenado has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .306 rate is a good deal higher than his .282 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Jordan Westburg has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .366.

In notching a .288 batting average this year, Masyn Winn has performed in the 85th percentile.

Ivan Herrera’s quickness has gotten better this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.45 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 94th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .370.

Ryan O’Hearn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Cardinals Matchup for Wednesday

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Busch Stadium projects as the #27 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

John Means will have the handedness advantage over Nolan Gorman today.

In today’s matchup, Nolan Gorman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (83rd percentile).

Typically, hitters like Nolan Gorman who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as John Means.

When it comes to his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Masyn Winn has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

This year, there has been a decline in Masyn Winn’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.13 ft/sec last year to 28.58 ft/sec currently.

By putting up a .223 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn is ranked in the 20th percentile.

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

With a .253 wOBA in the past 7 days, Cedric Mullins II has been struggling at the plate.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Cedric Mullins II is in the 9th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .278.

Kyle Stowers’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, Kyle Stowers has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 31% of the time.

Dingers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the majors.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the worst park in MLB for walks.

The 2nd-deepest right field fences among all parks are found in Busch Stadium.

Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

The Baltimore Orioles have done a poor job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 10.9° mark is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (#28 overall).

Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Ivan Herrera has been pinch hit for 26% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.

Since the start of last season, Ivan Herrera’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 2nd percentile at 83.1 mph.

Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt has been cold of late, putting up a .267 wOBA over the past week.

Paul Goldschmidt has put up a .265 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

By putting up a .133 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Paul Goldschmidt is ranked in the 18th percentile.

Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jorge Mateo faces a tough challenge today.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like John Means.

In terms of power, Nolan Arenado grades out in the 23rd percentile, having paced 8.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Colton Cowser has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Today, Colton Cowser is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (84th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colton Cowser today.

Ryan Mountcastle has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Ryan Mountcastle meets a tough challenge today.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Ryan O’Hearn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.

Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan O’Hearn’s true offensive talent to be a .337, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .029 gap between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Ryan O’Hearn and his 13.8% rank in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, posting a .398 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .357 — a .041 disparity.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mike Siani ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mike Siani is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that John Means throws from, Mike Siani has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Mike Siani’s 0% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ivan Herrera and his 3.8% rank in the 5th percentile since the start of last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (3.0) suggests that Colton Cowser has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 16.4 actual HR/600.

Colton Cowser’s 2.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Nolan Arenado has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core ability for batting average), checking in at the 11th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

John Means will have the handedness advantage over Alec Burleson in today’s game.

In today’s game, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (83rd percentile).

Alec Burleson has been lucky this year, putting up a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .035 gap.

Alec Burleson really struggles to hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) put him among MLB’s worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

Alec Burleson grades out in the 18th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.2% rate since the start of last season).

This year, there has been a decline in Ryan O’Hearn’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.75 ft/sec last year to 27.23 ft/sec currently.

John Means will have the handedness advantage over Lars Nootbaar in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar’s quickness has fallen off this year. His 27.81 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.2 ft/sec now.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Lars Nootbaar ranks in just the 13th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will bat from his worse side against Kyle Gibson today.

Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.

The St. Louis Cardinals have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 10.4° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (#29 overall).

Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg today.

Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Westburg today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg’s true offensive ability to be a .321, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .045 gap between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.

Alec Burleson is quite slow, ranking in the 18th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.83 ft/sec this year.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today’s game.

By putting up a 3.71 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Mountcastle has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Mateo in today’s matchup.

Jorge Mateo and his 7.8° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 20th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Since the start of last season, Masyn Winn’s 1.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Masyn Winn has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.9 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 12th percentile.

Checking in at the 6th percentile for power, Masyn Winn has paced 2.6 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Hitting from the same side that John Means throws from, Brendan Donovan will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Brendan Donovan’s 5.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

Checking in at the 19th percentile, the hardest ball Brendan Donovan has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colton Cowser’s true offensive ability to be a .306, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .066 difference between that figure and his actual .372 wOBA.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Stowers today.

Using Statcast metrics, Kyle Stowers grades out in the 1st percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .138.

Placing in the 11th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.18 ft/sec this year, Nolan Arenado is notably slow.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn’s true offensive ability to be a .288, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .031 disparity between that mark and his actual .319 wOBA.

Checking in at the 23rd percentile, Brendan Donovan sports a .256 BABIP this year.

Ryan O’Hearn has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .289 mark is a good deal higher than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brendan Donovan hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which often leads to easy pop-up outs. His 13% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 15th percentile.

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Orioles vs Cardinals Match Player Stats Wednesday May 22nd Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals Game Predictions, Players odds, Wednesday lines and Betting Trends
Orioles vs Cardinals match player stats Wednesday, May 22nd pre matchup. Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals player predictions