
ARI @ CIN





MLB Player match stats positives for Arizona at Cincinnati Tuesday Matchup
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
The #1 field in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.
Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Despite posting a .207 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Santiago Espinal has had bad variance on his side given the .081 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.
Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas today.
Jake McCarthy has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Christian Encarnacion-Strand’s BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today.
Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jake McCarthy’s BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #5 park in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
When assessing his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Eugenio Suarez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 23.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nick Martini is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest among all parks.
Nick Martini will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
Nick Martini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.
Blaze Alexander has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Blaze Alexander has been hot recently, posting a .372 wOBA over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.
Gabriel Moreno’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
With a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno is positioned in the 86th percentile.
Ranking in the 94th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a key talent for achieving a high batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Will Benson will have an edge today.
Will Benson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Will Benson’s 94.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
Joc Pederson projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Joc Pederson is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Jonathan India will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
As it relates to his home run ability, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Frankie Montas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Jake Fraley is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge today.
Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .222 rate is considerably lower than his .225 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is a fair amount lower than his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zac Gallen in the 87th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
Zac Gallen has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 5.0 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Will Benson).
Zac Gallen’s slider percentage has spiked by 6.9% from last year to this one (3.4% to 10.3%) .
Zac Gallen has put up a 26.8% strikeout rate since the start of last season, placing in the 87th percentile.
The Cincinnati Reds have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
Great American Ball Park has the 4th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.
When assessing his home run skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Current MLB player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Reds Matchup for Tuesday
Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Steer today.
The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.
Spencer Steer’s quickness has decreased this season. His 28.39 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.83 ft/sec now.
In terms of his batting average, Spencer Steer has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .267 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Santiago Espinal will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Santiago Espinal’s 1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 14th percentile since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, Santiago Espinal’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 10th percentile at 86.9 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 8th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
This year, Jake McCarthy has been pulled from the game early in 10% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s game.
Jake McCarthy’s quickness has decreased this season. His 29.96 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.89 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake McCarthy’s true offensive talent to be a .296, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .333 wOBA.
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Placing in the 22nd percentile, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has posted a .294 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Christian Encarnacion-Strand has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 4th percentile with a 5.91 K/BB rate.
In notching a 1.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake McCarthy is positioned in the 1st percentile for power.
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
This season, there has been a decline in Corbin Carroll’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.05 ft/sec last year to 28.92 ft/sec currently.
The standard deviation of Corbin Carroll’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.8°) is in the 14th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.
Corbin Carroll has notched a .068 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 6th percentile.
Since the start of last season, Jake McCarthy’s 2.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Frankie Montas will hold the platoon advantage over Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez today.
Nick Martini has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
With a .222 wOBA in the last 7 days, Nick Martini has been struggling at the plate.
Sporting a 5.05 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Martini has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 18th percentile.
Blaze Alexander is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Blaze Alexander will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Blaze Alexander will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Blaze Alexander has been lucky this year, notching a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .076 difference.
Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage against Christian Walker in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Walker in today’s matchup.
Christian Walker ranks in the 4th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (35.7% rate since the start of last season).
Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Gabriel Moreno has a tough challenge today.
Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Moreno today.
Sporting a 8.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 11th percentile for power.
Will Benson is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.9) implies that Will Benson has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 19.8 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
This year, there has been a decline in Will Benson’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.87 ft/sec last year to 28.33 ft/sec currently.
Elly De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Elly De La Cruz’s footspeed has fallen off this year. His 30.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.87 ft/sec now.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.2) provides evidence that Elly De La Cruz has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 22.3 actual HR/600.
With a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Elly De La Cruz is ranked in the 18th percentile for offensive ability.
Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Frankie Montas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph (a reliable stat to study power), checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a high rate of hitting “too-high” (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.5% rate puts him in the 24th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has notched a .265 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Santiago Espinal and his 11.9% rank in the 21st percentile since the start of last season.
Corbin Carroll has been cold recently, posting a .255 wOBA in the last week.
Jonathan India is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Jonathan India meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Jonathan India’s quickness has decreased this season. His 27.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.1 ft/sec now.
The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side (0) today against Frankie Montas, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.8 ft/sec currently.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.
With a 11.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ketel Marte is ranked in the 25th percentile for power.
Joc Pederson has recorded a .274 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 21st percentile.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Frankie Montas is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.
Great American Ball Park ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
This matchup is expected to have the 14th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Frankie Montas struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous outing and accumulated 0 Ks.
When estimating his home run talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake Fraley’s 84.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 1st percentile.
Jake Fraley has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), ranking in the 7th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.
Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joc Pederson has had some very good luck given the .049 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .352.
Spencer Steer has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 20.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 16.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Gabriel Moreno’s 4.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Zac Gallen will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Zac Gallen’s 92-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1-mph fall off from last season’s 93-mph mark.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Zac Gallen’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in the league currently.
Zac Gallen has recorded a 4.55 K/BB rate since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile.
Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, putting up a .394 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .078 difference.
Elly De La Cruz grades out in the 1st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (9.4% rate since the start of last season).
Elly De La Cruz has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile with a 3.66 K/BB rate.
Grading out in the 17th percentile, Corbin Carroll has notched a .190 batting average this year.
D-Backs vs Reds Match Player Stats Tuesday May 7th Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds Game Predictions, Players odds, Tuesday lines and Betting Trends
D-Backs vs Reds match player stats Tuesday, May 7th pre matchup. Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds player predictions
