The only player in NFL history to win three consecutive MVP awards was Brett Favre from 1995-97.
Another legendary Packer has a chance to equal that feat this season. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers used a late surge to beat out Tom Brady for 2021 MVP honors, becoming the first player since Peyton Manning (2008-09) to win the MVP in consecutive seasons. Rodgers is one behind Manning’s all-time record of five.
Oddsmakers are not sold on Rodgers’ chances to tie Favre or Manning this season, with offshore sportsbook BetOnline pricing the Green Bay signal caller at 14-1 to win the 2022 MVP. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen and Los Angeles quarterback Justin Herbert are the +700 co-favorites at the top of the market.
Allen leads a Buffalo team that is priced as the +675 ‘chalk’ to win the Super Bowl. The Bills are also +330 favorites to win the AFC for the first time in nearly 30 years. Allen was one of the favorites to win the MVP throughout the 2021 season, completing 63 percent of his passes for 4,407 yards and 36 touchdowns.
He put together a memorable performance in the AFC Divisional Round against Kansas City, putting a nice finishing touch on what was a letdown campaign compared to his breakout 2020 season. The Bills won the AFC East title by one game over New England and are -175 favorites in the division this year.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is doing everything it can to provide support and protection for Herbert. He threw for more than 5,000 yards and 38 touchdowns during his second year as a pro.
The 23-year-old has sky-high expectations heading into the season, as he is expected to be one of the league’s top passers. He is surely going to be in the MVP discussion, especially if the Chargers can make a push for the AFC West title.
Los Angeles will need to get past Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes, who is right behind Allen and Herbert at +800. The former MVP threw for more than 4,800 yards with 37 touchdowns last year, but his 13 interceptions marked a career worst. He is going to be without wide receiver Tyreek Hill this year, as the Chiefs added JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
And then there are still the veterans in Rodgers and Brady (12-1). It looked like there was a chance that neither quarterback would return this year, but Brady returned from a short retirement and Rodgers is back with the Packers.
Brady turns 45 in August, yet he was still second in MVP voting behind Rodgers last year. He threw for more than 5,300 yards and 43 touchdowns, leading a loaded Tampa Bay offense. Barring a sharp decline, Brady should have solid numbers again this season, as the Bucs are the +375 ‘chalk’ to win the NFC for the second time in three years.
Rodgers will no longer have wide receiver Davante Adams at his disposal, which means he will need to make things work with the likes of Allen Lazard, Christian Watson and Amari Rodgers. Watson was taken in the second round of the draft, as he will try to replace Valdes-Scantling.
Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow rounds out the top six contenders for the MVP award, priced at 11-1. He ranked sixth in passing yards, led the NFL in yards per attempt and topped the league in completion percentage last year.
Burrow returns all of his weapons outside of tight end C.J. Uzomah. His top target, Ja’Marr Chase, is 150-1 to win the MVP. The Bengals will be competing in one of the toughest divisions in football, as they are third in the odds (+210) behind Cleveland (+190) and Baltimore (+200).