The Heisman Trophy race has never been more lopsided in favor of one team.
No. 1 Alabama has three of the top five contenders for college football’s most coveted award, including the top two favorites. Florida needed to pull off an upset in the SEC Championship in order for quarterback Kyle Trask to have a shot, but the Gators came up just short.
Trask was the odds-on favorite for multiple weeks this season, but he had slipped to +800 entering the SEC title game. He is now listed at 25/1, which puts him at fourth in the market. Trask went 26 of 40 for 408 yards and three touchdowns.
He was outdueled by Alabama signal caller Mac Jones, who entered the game as the -200 favorite in the Heisman market. Jones completed 33 of 43 attempts for 418 yards, throwing five touchdowns and one interception.
Given his price entering the game, it would stand to reason that those numbers would lock up the award. However, Crimson Tide wide receiver Devonta Smith catapulted Jones and is now the -155 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman.
Smith hauled in 15 receptions for 184 yards and two touchdowns in Alabama’s 52-46 win. He has 98 grabs for 1,511 yards and 17 touchdowns this season, putting him in position to be the first wide receiver to win the Heisman since Desmond Howard in 1991.
It has been a major shift in the betting market, as Smith was priced at 18/1 two weeks ago. Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence jumped Trask and is now listed at +600. Lawrence threw for 322 yards and two touchdowns against Notre Dame in the ACC title game.
He missed multiple games this season due to a positive COVID-19 test, so it’s tough to see his numbers getting him many votes against Jones and Smith. Alabama running back Najee Harris might be the unluckiest of them all, as he sits at 28/1 despite rushing for 1,262 yards and 24 touchdowns this season.
The Crimson Tide opened at -160 to win the College Football Playoff once the four teams were finalized Sunday, but they are now priced at -175. Clemson is listed at +250 and will face Ohio State (+625) as a 7-point favorite in one of the semifinals. Notre Dame is a three-touchdown underdog to Alabama and is 20/1 to win the title.