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Picks To Click Last Updated: September 3, 2006
Picks To Click

Last  4-5 in NFL

Today (09/03)

TCU -6½ at Baylor Over 47½ TCU at Baylor

Horned Frogs & Over - Think road favorite wins and covers for several reasons. TCU led by a Senior QB in Jeff Ballard who is 8-0 as a starter and 1-0 in relief. Behind him has three talented RB's -- Frogs will run a ball possession offense -- high percentage plays. Ballard has been very efficient in that role. with over 1,800 PY a near 60% percentage completion ratio and a near 2-to-1 TD-to-Int ratio. In general offenses are prone to mistakes in early season games -- with Ballard in this type of offense with the backs he has at his disposal , should perform better than expected against a Baylor defense that has lost most of his starting unit from last season and overall is considered the weak link for Bears this season. In contrast Baylor opening up with a brand new offense, "Air-Bear". Offense expects to throw the ball 50-60 times a game and will be similar to current TTech offense. HC-Morriss has experience running it under Mumme. Baylor also thin at RB position. Bears appear to have WR's that match up well against TCU CB's with a significant height advantage -- but that edge generally not all that strong in a spread offense vs conventional lateral game. Baylor also with an experienced strong and big OL -- however with new offense it's an entirely different blocking scheme with assignments, splits and spacing and TCU likes to blitz from various positions. Think Baylor offense will struggle early this season and will be prone to mistakes and turnovers. TCU program also wants to show that when the old Southwest Conference was split up they deserved to go to Big 12 instead of Baylor. With the matchup, believe TCU will score 30+ points in this one, while Baylor will not quit in this game with big halftime ceremony honoring their all-time great players, most who will be in attendance and like over as well.

Good Luck!


-Tom-- 

MajorWager Free Picks Record

Wins
Losses
Pct.
Units 
All Games
369
370
49.9
-37.40
NFL 4
5
44.4
-1.50
NCAA-Football 0
1
-
-1.10
MLB (prior seasons)
95
98
49.2
-9.75
NBA (prior seasons)
57
52
52.3
-0.20
NCAA-Football (prior seasons)
68
73
48.2
-13.30
NCAA-Hoops (prior seasons)
93
93
50.0
-9.30
NFL (prior seasons)
41
34
54.7
+3.50
NFLX (prior seasons)
11
15
42.3
-5.75
        

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Email: tpomw@pickstoclick.com



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