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| Up on Monday Dow Jones MACD, MACD Histogram, and Stochastic all have started to reverse upwards. Note fast line (red) on the MACD. ================================================== ============ Key events in the week ahead ================================================== ============ * Economists polled by Briefing.com expect December wholesale inventories, due out Monday, to register a 0.3 percent gain versus a gain of 0.5 percent in November. * Wednesday, Fed chairman Greenspan gives his semi-annual testimony on monetary policy to the House. He'll repeat it to the Senate on Thursday. * December business inventories, slated for Thursday, are expected to add 0.3 percent, the same rise as the prior month. * Economists expect January retail sales to come in flat after growing 0.5 percent in December. Excluding autos, they expect a gain of 0.5 percent. * The December trade balance, due Friday, is expected to show a deficit of $40 billion compared to November's $38 billion shortfall. * The University of Michigan's first read on its consumer sentiment index for February, due Friday, is expect to come in at 103.3, down slightly from January's 103.8. ================================================== ============ have a great week, baz |
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| BG, Let's see if we can get the upper hand on the Dow this week. Looking at the Dow's Chart at www.clearstation.com Dow's Chart Please notice how often up day's occur while above it's 13 day moving average as compared to when it's below it's 13 day moving average? Something to think about in the days ahead. Greenspan testifies before Congress. As subtle as he may be, he's not one to pull any punches. Other than indicating a shift towards higher interest rates, don't think he's going to say that much that he hasn't already said. Believe one key will rest on net foreign Treasury investment numbers. Looking for the Dow to run, the fast(Red)MACD line rising above the slow (Blue) MACD line should signal a run commencing. Sticking with the trend and of course tradition.[img]i/expressions/face-icon-small-happy.gif[/img] Up on Tuesday ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Greenspan will deliver his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House Financial Services Committee Wednesday and the Senate Banking Committee Thursday. The speech tomorrow begins around 11 a.m. ET. Reports are due on Thursday and Friday on retail sales, consumer sentiment and business inventories, and that could stir some action in the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- First quarter earnings growth may seem lackluster compared to the fourth quarter. I think rather it will be the second-quarter earnings that impress." -Ram Kolluri, Cheif Investment Officer at GlobalValue Investors Fourth-quarter earnings are forecast to have grown around 28 percent year-over-year. By comparison, First Call currently forecasts earnings growth of around 14 percent in the first quarter. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The greenback has fallen nearly 14 percent against the currencies of the United States major trading partners over the past two years "OPEC doesn't suffer from money illusion," said Northern Trust chief U.S. economist Paul Kasriel. "It decided they want an honest dollar for an honest barrel of oil." ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- baz |
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