Pick The Dow

[Bostongambler]

-6.89

[Bostongambler]

UP on Hump day

[bazanster2]

BG,

After struggling to get into positive territory,
market faded in the final minutes. The volume was heaviest late.
Apple iphone helped the stock soared 8.3% to close at a new all-time high.
AAOL Should continue to do well.
Gold up +5.60

Argentine stocks slumped to a four-week low on Tuesday, dragged down by lower oil prices and by regional alarm
over Venezuela's vow to nationalize its main telephone company and other utilities.
Toronto Stock Exchange's main index ended lower.
Mexican stocks on Tuesday tumbled in their worst one-day loss in 10 weeks.
Most of the World Indexs down, except Sweden OMX which was up just +0.08%
Commodity based indexes sold off sharply. (Venezuela, Russia, Toronto, Australia, China).
Alcoa started out the Quarterly earnings period with a +60% increase.
Despite this, Future Indicators currently negative.
Going with DOWN on Hump Day.
Somewhat bearish because earnings are expected to be off considerably as compared to last Quarter. Have noticed that there has been an increase from the early 3.4% estimate to around 9.4%.

Their expecting a cold winter. Natural gas should run a bit here.


gl,

baz

[Bostongambler]

UP on Thurs.

[bazanster2]

BG,

Good call yesterday.

Lower oil help along with good earnings.
Oil slumped as much as 2 percent to a 19-month low under $53 a barrel Thursday as news of Saudi compliance with OPEC cuts failed to staunch a wave of selling that gathered pace after a big build in U.S. fuel stocks.

Market down early, followed a recent trend of reversing direction as trading continued. Tuesday being a bit of an exemption.
Lower oil prices will help bottom lines in coming Quarters, which should help extend this rally futher.
Now, their expecting 10% increase in earnings this Quarter, revised upward
again. Better than previously expected.

Future Indicators positive.
DJ Wilshire 5000, the most broadly based Index up +37.84
Going with UP on Thursday.

gl,

baz

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Danger ahead? Stocks' early warning signal
A choppy start to 2007 could mean tough times ahead, according to some historic trends, but don't start worrying just yet.
By Alexandra Twin, CNNMoney.com senior writer....This Lady is a Great Financial Writer.
January 10 2007: 10:11 AM EST

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Well, so much for starting the year off on a positive note.

Five sessions into what is seasonally a strong time of year, stocks have slipped. Granted, they've only slipped very modestly. But, according to the
Stock Trader's Almanac, that may be a bad sign for the rest of the year.
According to what the Almanac calls the "early warning system," how the S&P 500 performs in the first five sessions of the year can be an indicator of how it will
perform for the full year.
How'd we do in the first five sessions of 2007? The S&P 500 lost 0.4 percent.
A decline of 0.4 percent is not exactly cause for alarm. But a gain in this period would have been better, historically speaking.
Since 1950, when the S&P 500 posted a gain during the first five sessions of a year, the market ended higher 85 percent of the time. When it posted a loss,
the results were less notable - the market closed higher half the time and lower about half the time.
Beyond the first week
There are many market indicators that suggest 2007 will be a strong year. For one, 2007 is a year before a presidential election. People who think the stock market follows the four-year cycle of the presidency consider that a good thing.
The Dow Jones industrial average hasn't fallen in a pre-election year since 1939, amid World War II, according to the Almanac. That's because in the year before
and the year of a presidential election, the party in power does what it can to stay in power and not alienate voters, including keeping the economy strong and money in the hands of consumers.
Plus, there are plenty of reasons to suggest that 2007 will be an upbeat year regardless of the seasonal factors: the economy appears to be slowing, but not heading for recession; the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates later this year; commodity prices are moderating; and earnings are still growing faster than the historical trend (although at a slower pace than in recent quarters).
And for market indicator geeks, there is the January test that investors still have time to ace: the so-called "January Barometer." The barometer, according to the
Almanac, says that as the S&P 500 goes in January, so goes the year.
This has been accurate 75 percent of the time since 1950. In pre-election years it's been accurate in 13 of the last 14.

[Bostongambler]

There we go Baz... +72.82.


Another new record

[Bostongambler]

UP on Friday.

[bazanster2]

BG,

Definately getting some help from lower oil prices.
Getting the sense that this Market wants to run.
Especially the tech sector.
Airline stocks rebounding nicely.
Quite a few reports today:

8:30(Eastern):
Export Prices
Import Prices
Retail Sales
Retail Sales ex-oil

10:00am(Eastern)
Business Inventories

2pm(Eastern)
Treasury Budget

Going with UP on Friday.

gl,

baz

-------------------------------------------------------------

By Aaron Smith, CNNMoney.com staff writer
June 22, 2006: 2:27 PM EDT

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) - Paralyzed rats are walking again, thanks to a new stem cell treatment; that's big news for the medical community ... and a 10-year wait for anybody wanting to make a buck off it.

Dr. Douglas Kerr, assistant professor of neurology at Johns Hopkins Hospital in Baltimore, used experimental stem cell technology to successfully repair lab rats' damaged spines, restoring mobility to their legs.

If scientists are able to repeat this success in humans, stem cells could eventually be used to help paralyzed patients walk again, even in cases where spinal cords are severed by motorcycle accidents, sports injuries or war wounds. Kerr's experiment gives hope to a broad range of therapies for the rebuilding of kneecaps, brain cells, and even the pancreas in diabetics. Stem cells are being considered as treatments for multiple sclerosis and brain damage, and diseases like Lou Gehrig's, Alzheimer's and Parkinson's.

Geron Corp. (down $0.13 to $6.25, Charts), StemCells Inc. (down $0.03 to $1.94, Charts), Aastrom Biosciences Inc. (down $0.05 to $1.18, Charts) and ViaCell, Inc. (down $0.10 to $4.28, Charts) are some of the lead biotechs in stem cell research, but analysts say that it's going to take years before they're able to turn recent breakthroughs into revenue.

"People get excited when there are scientific advancements like this, and you need that excitement to get investors interested in companies like these," said Ben Weintraub, analyst for Noble Financial Group. "But they need to understand that translating an advance like that from preclinical study into human medicine is a process that takes at least 10 years."

The money-making question for analysts is not just when, but how. Stem cell companies are not like Big Pharma, or even other biotechs, that make and sell drugs. These companies would probably use their technology in conjunction with a patient's own cells in order to treat them.

"The other important thing that investors need to realize is that the business model for stem cell companies is still a bit of an enigma," said Weintraub. "The business model of selling someone their own cells is still uncertain. It's not like a drug that you can sell someone for $40,000 a year."

StemCells is working on "off the shelf" stem cells that could be stored and sold to patients, said Weintraub. "That's a little bit clearer business model [compared to its competitors,] but the worry is that someone else's cells off the shelf are not going to be as good as your own," he said.

Steve Brozak, analyst for WBB Securities, said that Geron is the strongest company in the stem cell business because it has done the best job of protecting its developments through patents. But there's also the issue of international competitiveness. Brozak is concerned that American companies haven't done enough to research these emerging technologies and will soon be swept under by foreign competitors, who could be making discoveries unknown to us.

"The one thing we have to fear is what's going on overseas," said Brozak. "While the U.S. companies are sleeping, what [international] private or state enterprises are advancing stem cell research?"

But stem cell research, along with the overall abortion debate, is a controversial subject in the United States. This friction often surfaces in questions of federal funding. That, analysts argue, puts U.S. research efforts at a disadvantage to overseas competition.

Brozak said the U.S. government's lack of enthusiasm in getting up to speed with stem cell technologies isn't doing any favors for patients or biotechs.

"You tell me how long it takes the FDA to figure out what it's doing and you tell me how long it takes the politicians to get some spinal development," said Brozak.

Brozak does not own shares of Geron stock, but WBB does share a banking relationship with them.

[Bostongambler]

UP on Tues.

[drunkguy]

you any good at this stuff BG?

103 pages of this thread?

[bazanster2]

BG,

from yahoo.com/finance:

"More evidence that a soft landing for the U.S. economy remains on track helped extend Thursday's broad-based buying efforts.
The Dow finished in record territory again while the Nasdaq hit a new six-year high.
December retail sales checking in with their biggest gain (+0.9%) since July - providing further evidence that the consumer
is alive and kicking - was the biggest reason behind Friday's impressive follow-through effort. Retail sales (ex-autos) were also
stronger than economists expected, rising 1.0% - the largest increase since January. Not only did the data alleviate concerns
about the slowdown in housing curtailing consumption, but the absence of significant weakness increased the likelihood that
Q4 GDP estimates will be revised higher.
Of the eight sectors closing in positive territory, Energy led the charge (+2.6%). The return of Energy's leadership, following
four straight down days that had the sector down 3.5% for the week and off more than 8% already this year, more than acted
as an offset to the 2.1% bounce in oil prices.
After plunging 13% so far this year and selling off over the last four days, a rebound of some sort in oil prices was not a big surprise.
It is also worth noting that oil was still down nearly 6% for the week and is 33% below record levels reached last July.
Materials turned in the day's second best performance; but its 1.1% advance still didn't provide as much support as continued upward momentum in Technology.
The more influential sector was in focus Friday after Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 18.27 -1.91) said Q4 revenue will miss expectations.
AMD's warning prompted several analyst downgrades and initially renewed concerns about earnings prospects of other chip."

Oil has fallen below $53 for now.
With several key numbers just before Wednesday opening bell,
would expect some caution here late in the trading day.
Little on the immediate horizon to slow the Bulls down.
Going with UP on Tuesday.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------


Dunkguy

Welcome aboard.
Guess the "proof is in the pudding".
Since Stock Talk began, I've really been surprised at how well we've done.
Like Copper in the low 60's.
We' ve always been long on Gold since August 2001.

We do have a documented record at ClearStation : Welcome to ClearStation!
Whenever a fellow poster or myself suggested a Stock, I would added it
to the WatchList.

Here are the results of the Top Ten since August 2001.
AMX +78,223,91%..........mexican celluar phone company. Lucky. Got in at 15 cents.
TIE +33,388,63%...........nanotechnolgy drastically reducing titanium production costs. 90%
ECO +13,210%.............Gold stock that was bought out. No longer a company.
RIMM +1,777%..............blackberry.
AEMLW +882%.............gold stock.
AVM +604%
RMKR +604%
PD +543%...................copper play.
SNDK +447.................makes memory chips for Digital Cameras.

Honorable mention: XSNX which when I first posted about it was
at 10 cents and went up to slightly over +2.50 only to crash back
down to it's current 41 cents. I'm becoming a little impatient with
this one. We still sitting in positive territory.

Now one has a right to be credulous. However, this list was previously posted and
should still be posted in this tread. Due MW using new software the first several years were lost.
I do have some of the material on CD. There are several long term fellow posters who may be able
to vouch for these claims.
The Actuary use to post here but hasn't posted in this forum for quite a while.
LC a long term and very respected poster whom still posts here.
I know that the Major at one time visited.
Of course BG also. Not sure when he started vistiting, but it's been quite a while.

To be honest, the whole reason we have this tread is discussing Stocks in the Main Mess Hall
irked the Majority that wanted to discuss more gambling related subjects.
It was thought that it would be best to have an independent forum for these matters.
I never really have liked picking the DOW daily prior to the Opening Bell.
I perfer to watch the action, then jump in.
Traders need to be decisive. Nimble.
I've had streaks were I picked the Dow 20 days in a row or at least it seemed so.
Then there have been weeks when I can't buy a victory.
Over the years, I really haven't been skunked too often.
BostonGambler tends to Bullish. Which given the Market action of the years has been the
right side to be on more often than not. :)
I tend to be a "Chicken Little" want to be.
The reason that I continue to do this is that its been very educational and continues to be so.
I'm much better at Commodites which by the way have been shaking and baking.
Skyrocketing and others crashing. Great opportunities usually exist.

Just read back through the thread.
Tend to watch closely the Moving Averages, Daily Trading Volume Averages.
Tend to look at economics in terms of sectors and cycles. Housing is tanking.
Their expecting a good year in semicondutors.
It's a lot like catching a wave. Getting in the flow of the waves.

Here some stocks to consider:

BIPH.OB

Now this is a company produces the only pacemaker that
can be used in a MRI. Kind of a better mouse trap.
It went from about 25 cents to around $3.
Investors and speculators have sold the stock off. Impatience and moving $$$.

"You buy your straw hats in winter"....Bernard Brunch
Long term, I like this stock. It could go lower, but these are reasonable levels.
We'll watch the averages. Right now it's not even above it's 200 Day moving average.

PEFF

Power Efficiency Corporation develops and markets advance energy saving technologies for electric motors.
The Company's first product, an energy saving soft start, reduces the amount of energy used by electric motors
in applications such as many escalators, elevators, grinders, granulators, mixers, saws, and stamping presses.
The energy saving soft start allocates power in direct proportion to the motor's required workload, eliminating
wasted electricity. The company's core technology is based on patented improvements to NASA technology.
Energy savings from the Company's products are typically 20-40% in appropriate applications.
The controllers also reduce the operating heat of the motor, producing significant motor life extension
and downtime reduction benefits

We have quite a few previous posts on this company.
Their product has been tested and work very well.

I try to find companies with proprietary technology that are going to have a significant impact.
Due to nanotechnology there are going to be a lot of them.


gl,

baz

[drunkguy]

thanks for the info baz

[bazanster2]

BG,


Intel earnings:

from CNN.com - Breaking News, U.S., World, Weather, Entertainment & Video News
"Our gross margin is 11 points lower this year compared to the fourth quarter last year, primarily
because of a lower average selling price for chips," Intel's CEO Paul Otellini...

Intel off 4% in after-hours trading.
AMD sold off -10% last week as their gross margins dropped from 61.8% (4Q) 2005 to 49.6% for (4Q) 2006.

Would look for Tech to sell off tomorrow on Intel news.
Think that the Market will finish which everway it heads in the first 5 minutes of trading.
Going with DOWN on Hump Day, when will I ever learn?
But suspect that traders will be unlikely to commit late in the trading day
with so many key reports the next day.

Wednesday's Economic Reports:
Core PPI (8:30am Eastern)
PPI (8:30am Eastern)
Net Foreign Purchases (9:15am Eastern)
Capacity Utilization (9:15am Eastern)
Industrial Production (9:15 am Eastern)
Crude Inventories (10:30am Eastern)
Fed's Beige Book 2:00 pm Eastern)

Thursday's Economic Reports:
Building Permits
Core CPI
CPI Housing Starts
Intial Claims
Leading Indicators
Crude Inventories
Philadelphia Fed

gl,

baz
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FRESNO, Calif. (AP) -- Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger asked the federal government Tuesday for disaster aid
because of an ongoing cold snap that has destroyed nearly $1 billion worth of California citrus, and industry
officials said shoppers will feel the sting through higher prices for oranges, lemons and other produce.
Nearly every winter crop is affected by the freeze, from avocados to strawberries to fresh-cut flowers,
but it's the state's citrus crop that stands to take the biggest economic hit.
"We may adjust the prices as we discover the full extent of the damage next week, but for now, if you
bought an orange at the supermarket for 50 cents, expect to pay a dollar to $1.49 for it," said Todd Steel,
owner of Royal Vista Marketing, which sells California citrus to markets throughout the country.
California is the nation's No. 1 producer of fresh citrus, growing about 86 percent of lemons and 21 percent
of oranges sold in the U.S., according to the California Farm Bureau. Florida produces more citrus overall --
about 55 percent of the nation's total, according to the USDA -- but most of that state's oranges are processed for juice.

More than 70 percent of this season's oranges, lemons and tangerines -- nearly $1 billion worth of fruit --
were still on the trees as nighttime temperatures in California's Central Valley dipped into the low 20s
and teens on four straight nights beginning Friday. The freeze ruined as much as three-quarters of the
California citrus crop, growers say; the fruit is threatened whenever the mercury falls below 28 degrees.

They issued a severe weather alert tonight but expect this one to be the last for the next 10 days.
Still, have to think that prices are going to go higher than $2.00
Some other comments on the commodities:

Corn increased from 2.25 to 3.96 since October.
Oats, Rice, Wheat, Hard Red Spring Wheat all have been rallying.
Coffee has had a nice rally since last May and now appears to be correcting. Stochastics about to invert.
Lumber has been trending down primarily due to the slump in home construction.
Sugar rallied from below 6 cents in early 2004 to nearly 20 cents late 2005 only to crash back donwn to around 12 cents.
The entire metals complex continues to be under pressure. Expecting more of the same for a while.
Copper had a huge rally from the the 60 cent range late 2001 to 4.16 in the first quarter of 2006 and how appears to be headed
down.

Stocks that we like long term that had good days:
EMFP +8.7%
RSSYF +7.3%

Airline Stocks the last week. Springing back thanks to much lower oil.
Up sharply YTD.

Best Performing Stocks
Symbol......Company Name...................Percent Change
HA.............Hawaiian Holdings Inc...............23.27%
MEH..........Midwest Express Holdings.........16.96%
AMR..........AMR Corporation.......................12.79%
CPA..........Copa Holdings Sa......................11.63%
CAL...........Continental Airlines Inc...............11.07%
XJT............Expressjet Holdings Inc.............10.58%
JBLU.........Jetblue Awys Corp......................10.54%
AAI............Airtran Hldgs Inc........................10.11%
ZNH...........China Southn Airls Ltd................10.10%
TAM..........Tam Sa........................................9.17%

The Last Month:
Best Performing Stocks
PNCL........Pinnacle Airl Corp..........................68.74%
GLUX........Great Lakes Aviation Ltd................39.50%
CEA..........China Eastn Airls Ltd .....................33.14%
AKHWS.....Air France Klm...............................28.43%
MAIR.........Mair Holdings Inc...........................24.58%
ZNH..........China Southn Airls Ltd....................24.11%
HA............Hawaiian Holdings Inc....................22.02%
MEH..........Midwest Express Holdings.............21.17%
JBLU.........Jetblue Awys Corp........................17.10%
AMR...........AMR Corporation..........................15.04%

[Bostongambler]

Good call Baz... I missed the call for today.

[Bostongambler]

UP on Thurs.

[bazanster2]

BG,

Expecting good numbers today,
going with UP on Thursday.

-----------------------------------------
Like this one long term. Closed at 27.5 cents.

JMAR Technologies Inc. (OTCBB:JMAR), a leading developer of advanced laser, high resolution imaging and photonics technologies, has
successfully hit the 50 nm resolution milestone targeted in the development of its compact soft X-ray Microscope.
JMAR’s compact soft X-ray Microscope (XRM) bridges the sizeable gap between optical microscopes, which are typically greater than 200 nm resolution, and transmission electron microscopes that resolve feature sizes as small as 0.1 nm. Key advantages of the XRM include the ability to provide not only 2D images, but full 3D topographic reconstructions of whole cells, without altering the cell structure by slicing. Additionally, soft X-rays provide natural contrast for cell imaging, eliminating the need for staining. This greatly reduces sample preparation time and complexity,
as compared to transmission electron microscopy, while still providing high resolution imaging.
This is a significant milestone in the development of a commercially viable compact soft X-ray microscope. Researchers in the bio and life sciences will be able to do in their own labs what is currently only possible at a few large scale facilities worldwide,” said Dr. Oscar Hemberg, General Manager of JMAR’s Research Division. “We are very excited over our development progress and the potential for high-resolution, single-cell tomography.”“Advances in nanotechnology, and more specifically soft X-ray microscopy, are paving the way for major breakthroughs in biomedical applications,” stated Neil Beer, CEO and president of JMAR. “JMAR’s expertise has positioned us on the cutting edge of these developing technologies.”
JMAR is completing its first working prototype of the XRM and there is active interest from several companies in partnering on the final development and commercialization of the instrument.

hppt://www.jmar.com

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Don't misss tomorrow's exciting discussion on the Guayule Plant,wa,wa,wa.

gl,

baz

[bazanster2]

BG,

Going with DOWN on Friday.
Remain bullish, but think we're in for a small sell off here.
Would expect Nasdaq to continue to sell off.
Lower oil is just going to help.
Speculate that whichever way the Market opens it will finish.

-----------------------------------------------
some art:
Yahoo! Photos

gl

baz
================================================== ===================================
Guayule (why-you-lee) is a desert plant native to the southwestern United States and North Central Mexico.


HISTORY
Guayule has been known as a source of rubber since the pre-Columbian times when Indians of Mexico used it to form
balls for their games. In the early 1900s, guayule was first considered as an alternative source of natural rubber in the
United States because of the high price of Hevea rubber from the Amazon region (Bonner 1991). Since this initial interest,
there have been
three major efforts to domesticate and commercialize guayule. The first began at the turn or the century with the
harvesting of wild stands of guayule in Mexico. Several extraction methods were evaluated, and in 1904, 40 kg of
guayule rubber was exported to the United States. By 1907, a total of 20 extraction plants were either operational
or under construction in Mexico, and in 1910, Mexican rubber production reached a high of 10,000 t, which accounted
for 24% of the total rubber imported into the United States (Bonner 1991). Production by the Continental Rubber
Company continued until 1912, when the Mexican Revolution halted all commercial production. This may have been
a blessing in disguise since very large areas of native shrub had been depleted, and guayule was on its way to
becoming extinct in Mexico.After the closure of the processing facilities in Mexico, commercialization efforts were
moved across the border to the United States. Agronomic studies and breeding work was initiated by the newly
reorganized Intercontinental Rubber Company, with efforts centered in Arizona and California.
By the late 1920s, annual production of guayule rubber, from commercial plantings of over 3,200 ha, was about
1,400 t. Seventeen years (1929) after the project was moved from Mexico to the United States, production
ceased because of the Great Depression (Bonner 1991).
The second major effort to domesticate and utilize guayule as a source of natural rubber came with the Emergency
Rubber Project of World War II. This was an extensive effort involving over 1,000 scientists and technicians,
and 9,000 laborers. Over 13,000 ha of shrub was planted at 13 sites in three states. The effort ended with the
end of the war and the development of synthetic rubber (Huang 1991). During the four years of its existence,
1,400 t of guayule rubber was produced, but at the end of the war an additional 10,000 t was destroyed while
still in the shrub (Bonner 1991).
However, the project was very successful, and from it came the bulk of our knowledge about the basic biology
of guayule and the origin of the germplasm upon which current breeding programs are based (Thompson and Ray 1991).
If this work had continued, undoubtedly today guayule would have already become a commercial rubber crop.
The third effort, of which we are still a part, arose from the quadrupling of crude oil prices in the early 1970s.
This led to the enactment of the Native Latex Commercialization and Economic Development Act of 1978,
which has supported the current guayule research for about 12 years (Huang 1991). Although this effort is
neither as concentrated, or as urgent, as the Emergency Rubber Project, a tremendous amount of work has
been done, and has resulted in significant increases in yield and the refinement of cultural practices to fit today's
mechanized agriculture.

from:
Guayule: A Source of Natural Rubber

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
more info:
New lines raise the commercial
potential of guayule
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In the US the Guayule can grow in the southern parts of Texas, from a good portion of South West Califonia.
In Mexico is grow in the following States:
Coahuila, Chihuahua, Durango, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, and Zacatecas.

Link with US growing areas and other info:

Yulex Corporation: Agriculture

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Basically what's happening in the Rubber Production world is that there are some key regions
are being affected by Rubber Tree Bark Necrosis, Large producers have the fiscal ability to deal with
it however in some countries 50% of production is from small planters unable to afford treatment.
World demand is going to be increasing. In addition, it would make good economic sense for
the US to produce it's own rubber and the Guyale plants affords an opportunity.
Yields per acre have increased substantial and with nanotechnology the gains could be continue.
Land that looked barren desert a few years ago is now looking like potential large Rubber plantations.
We'll have to watch the prices of the land involved.
This could be a good long term opportunity.
More reserch to follow.

[Bostongambler]

I'll make the call early.


UP on Monday!!!!


GO PATS!!!

[bazanster2]

BG,

MACD has trended downward since Nov.
MACD Histogram positive volume unconvincing since October.
Still, Market has rallied from July lows.
Lower oil and a tame interest rate front, would tend to bode well for the Market.
Gasoline off 14 cents. $2 gas.
Going with UP on Monday.

gl,

baz