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Old 05-31-2001, 07:16 AM
KentBrockman KentBrockman is offline
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Default First team to score

AV2, or someone else,
does somebody has an idea about the correlation of the betting option "first team to score" and the three-way-odds.
Bookmakers seem not to have a common opinion about this prop.
For example: Finland - Germany to score first goal:
Intertops : 2,00 - 1,714 (when there is no goal bets are refunded)
Admiral: 2,8 - 1,4 (when there is no goal the bet is lost)
betinternet: 2,85 - 1,55 (when there is no goal the bet is lost)
interwetten: 2,1 - 1,55 (when there is no goal the bet is lost)

In this case Im sure that Intertops 1,714 for Germany is the "weak"-line, because you have the additional advantage that if there is no goal the stake will be refunded and therefore Ill try it.

But I would be interested if somebody has an idea or even better a database according the correlation between first goal and three-way - I think there must additionally taken care of the expected number of goals.
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Old 05-31-2001, 01:15 PM
fin fin is offline
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I'm on Germany to score too, the additional advantage is that Finland never scores goals
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Old 05-31-2001, 01:16 PM
fin fin is offline
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..unless Dick Jol gives us 3 penalties
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Old 05-31-2001, 07:46 PM
KentBrockman KentBrockman is offline
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Fin,
this additional advantage is OK with me.

Either you are not patriotic, not optimistic or just realistic :-).
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