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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 03-04-2006, 05:54 AM
MRW2276 MRW2276 is offline
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,366
Default EPL Sat.

Like a few draws in EPL this week on the bog boys Pool +272, Chelsea +320, and Arsenal +240. The reason is simply all three here have huge matches midweek in Champions league so can easily see 2/3 messing up this weekend in the EPL.
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Old 03-04-2006, 09:09 AM
parkendhead parkendhead is offline
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Posts: 1,903
Default RE:EPL Sat.

I tend to agree bud, possibly looking at opposing the 'big teams' in other leagues as well,


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Old 03-05-2006, 09:38 AM
MRW2276 MRW2276 is offline
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,366
Default RE:EPL Sat.

Well park didn't work this weekend (since barco and real pulled it out though bayern screws up), but overall that's a trend (fading huge champion team favs weekend before) worth betting long run. The draw thing worked out for me only going 1/3 a modest payout, but I played them smaller on chelsea and upped it later in the day (that was another angle since all three matches started different times). Another trend in champions is to take the huge dogs coming back in 2nd leg. It will never fails that a +400 type who lost leg one can easily come back. I believe Lyon few years back vs milno was +2500 or something.
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Old 03-05-2006, 10:11 AM
DrunkenGoon DrunkenGoon is offline
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Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 9,844
Default RE: EPL Sat.

I don't think Lyon ever played Milan in the CL in an elimination stage... You're probably thinking Monaco over Real or something like that...

This angle it not as profitable as you might think. Yes, it was true a while back, but not any more. It's more interesting to play it when the teams play CL-reg season - CL all within 8 days but not when there's two weeks between the CL games.

As far as big prices in CL, how about Real over Arsenal, Chelsea over Barcelona and Ajax over Inter? You cash one of the dogs you're golden... could probably go with odds to advance instead of actual game in these as well to maximize profit.

And while we're at it, gimme Banfica to advance as well, Liverpool still doesn't impress me.

I would absolutely stay away from PSV and Rangers.

"Elections are not decided by those who vote but by those who count the votes"
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Old 03-05-2006, 03:37 PM
MRW2276 MRW2276 is offline
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,366
Default RE:EPL Sat.

Also Bayern +180 isn't that bad as well. Hell they drew 1-1. You figure 2-2 bayern is in. I like these champion league angles cause your dealing with good teams and a goal down isn't anything really such the case with Chelsea, but barc seems too much with the 2 away goals that really killed chelsea. You figure they will need 3 goals advance. Anyone else, but barco I would say yes take a chance on chels at +400, but can't see Barco not grabbing at least one goal at home.
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