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Old 08-22-2007, 12:42 PM
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Default Feature Race Analysis | Saratoga | Aug 22

By John Pricci | HorseRaceInsider

Tread Lightly In New York-Bred Feature

Generally, the Albany Handicap for state-bred three-year-olds draws a good-sized field and is an interesting betting race. Not so this year. A short field, a short-priced favorite, and the horses with the best nine furlong form are not nearly as fast as those that might be distance challenged.

What to do?

Not sure about how we might take any money out of this event. Clearly, Chief’s Lake (8-5) is the fastest on performance figures, and by a lot. His class and wide speed advantage should get him home in front. But he’s the kind you’d love to try beating. The problem is we can’t find any on a particularly good line, and those that might be look too slow.

We’re not making a win wager here, although we’re calling Chief’s Lake the most likely winner and he will be tallied in our daily running totals. Not even making an exacta. There’s not a clear cut second finisher in the bunch. Instead, we will key Chief’s Lake first over three rivals in the trifecta.

Dr. V’s Magic is, by definition, the second fast horse and, while also distance challenged, is clearly best of the rest. Stunt Man goes turf to dirt for Gary Contessa and earns competitive figures consistently, a big plus here. Doctor Freud is too slow but has a race over the track and appears e would be most at home at today’s trip.

There’s still two weeks remaining at this meet. There’s no need to get seriously involved here.
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