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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2005, 02:27 PM
Crony Crony is offline
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Default Texas - Dickies 500

Dale Earnhardt Jr to Win @ 14/1 (Olympic)

Led a lot of laps last week at Atlanta.
Taking the same car.

Has run fairly well at Texas with a win in 2000, a 2nd in 2003, and 5 top tens in last 6 races at the track.
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Old 11-02-2005, 11:25 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE: Texas - Dickies 500

Biffle 2.5 units @ 7-1 (VIP). Looks pretty generous considering the way he dominated Texas in April. He's 5-1 most places.
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Old 11-03-2005, 03:13 PM
Crony Crony is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

Las Palmas has some soft qualifying matchups up, will hit them at 5dimes when they clone them:

Biffle -1.20 over Stewart.
Biffle should be at least -1.60.

Kahne -1.35 over Nemechek.
Think Kahne should be -1.50.

Busch, Kurt -1.05 over Mears.
Mears is taking a car that has been up and down in qualifying, with 3 very strong performance, 1 mediocre and 5 bad starts.

Busch is taking a car that was 38th in its only Q run.
All that aside, Busch is 26-5 vs Mears on the year and on a 10-0 run.

I got to believe he is better value than -1.05. Probably closer to a 2-1 favorite.
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Old 11-04-2005, 02:18 AM
Hartley Hartley is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

Watch out for Kenseth in qualifying tomorrow. He tested last month at the track and set a track record and was over 2 seconds faster than anyone else. He also was 5 seconds faster than Newman's best lap. I'm not sure how the testing will equate to qualifying but he is using that car.

For those who like Pinnacle's pole bets the field at 5/1 is generous. You get Kenseth, Mayfield (who was second in qualifying in the first Texas race and less than 1/10 of a second slower than Newman's pole), Mark Martin who always qualifies well at the track, Earnhardt Jr - same with him, Bobby Labonte (who generally has sucked at qualifying this year although he had a few good starts and did get 3 consecutive poles prior to the last qualifying run), Rusty Wallace, Kevin Harvick (who does have 2 poles this year already), Scott Riggs, Casey Mears, Ricky Rudd, Dale Jarrett and a bunch of crap
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Old 11-04-2005, 12:11 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE: Texas - Dickies 500

qual:
40ov15 1un -113
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  #6 (permalink)  
Old 11-06-2005, 01:13 PM
Crony Crony is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

Edwards over Martin +1.20
Rudd over Nemechek +1.15
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Old 11-06-2005, 01:43 PM
Chillin-the-Most Chillin-the-Most is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

Biffle 6.5 4 units
Mears 96.5-1 1.5 units
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Old 11-06-2005, 02:07 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE: Texas - Dickies 500

42ov19 1 unit @ -103.
adding:
99ov20 1 unit @ -101.

Currently +108 and +117 respectively. Guys are tripping over each other to fade my picks!!
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Old 11-06-2005, 05:58 PM
Chillin-the-Most Chillin-the-Most is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

I know the feeling as of late.

41 over 88 105 2
20 over 97 -130 2
48 over 97 -145 3
01 over 21 -125 2
6 over 24 -155 2
01 over 29 -115 2
17 over 8 -135 2

How about this to show what a chump I am. CRIS has the Nemechek over Harvick up twice. I played Nemechek -115 and scrolled down to see I could have had -110 but I was just playing down the sheet.
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  #10 (permalink)  
Old 11-06-2005, 06:07 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE: Texas - Dickies 500

42 now -146 over 19. Something must have happened.
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Old 11-06-2005, 06:08 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

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Old 11-06-2005, 06:08 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

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Old 11-06-2005, 06:10 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

Quote:
[i]

How about this to show what a chump I am. CRIS has the Nemechek over Harvick up twice. I played Nemechek -115 and scrolled down to see I could have had -110 but I was just playing down the sheet.
Here's one for you. Agua Caliente sportsbook in Tijuana a few years back (World Cup)
Netherlands +1500
Holland +1200

I swear to God!

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  #14 (permalink)  
Old 11-06-2005, 06:14 PM
Chillin-the-Most Chillin-the-Most is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

I know all about Caliente. In fact if it wasnt for Caliente, I probably never would have started betting NASCAR. We had a satellite of theirs in Curacao and they never updated their numbers after qualifying and practice. That Dutch thing is hilarious though.
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  #15 (permalink)  
Old 11-06-2005, 06:14 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE:Texas - Dickies 500

Quote:
Originally posted by: h_upmann
42 now -146 over 19. Something must have happened.

-171 now.
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  #16 (permalink)  
Old 11-06-2005, 06:20 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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Default RE: Texas - Dickies 500

99ov20 now +123!
Stand on your head and bet everything that falls out!
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