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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 10-29-2008, 12:24 PM
Crony Crony is offline
Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 3,029
Default Texas - Dickies 500

More chalk.

Johnson in his Supercar that has 6 starts with 3 wins, 1 2nd, and 2 6th's.
5/1 looks ok to me.

Edwards has 5 out of 12 this year at this track type.

Seems kind of foolish to take such short prices...
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 10-29-2008, 08:01 PM
Hartley Hartley is offline
Join Date: Sep 2000
Posts: 8,963

No doubt qualifying will be cancelled again. When was the last time they actually got a qualifying run in?
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2008, 11:57 AM
Crony Crony is offline
Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 3,029

Qualifying will be a go tomorrow:

Hourly Weather Forecast for Dallas, TX -

Fri, October 31
Time Condition Feels
Like Chance
Precip Dew
Point Humid. Wind

11am Sunny
68F 10% 59F 73% From S 11 mph

12pm Sunny
72F 10% 59F 63% From S 12 mph

1pm Sunny
75F 10% 58F 55% From S 12 mph

2pm Sunny
78F 10% 57F 50% From S 12 mph

3pm Sunny
79F 10% 55F 43% From S 12 mph

Evening Commute Live Traffic Reports

4pm Sunny
79F 0% 54F 42% From S 12 mph

5pm Sunny
79F 0% 54F 43% From S 10 mph

6pm Sunny
78F 0% 54F 46% From S 9 mph
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2008, 07:12 PM
willcover willcover is offline
Private 1st Class
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 29

Matchups-Qualifying @ 5 dimes
Earnhardt Jr-215
Edwards+170 for 2X

Really like Edwards in this spot. Spring race at Texas they qualified Jr 1st, Edwards 2nd but Edwards was quickest off the truck, and in every practice session. Could see Jr as a slight favorite but not by this much, think there is real value in Edwards especially coming off last weeks win.
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  #5 (permalink)  
Old 10-30-2008, 07:45 PM
Crony Crony is offline
Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 3,029


The matchup opened Earnhardt Jr -1.40/Edwards +1.10
I took Jr minus the 40.

Last 4 times they have had qualifying at the cookie cutter tracks, Edwards has qualified 35th at Kansas, 26th at California, 27th at Michigan, 30th at Charlotte.

Earnhardt is 6-0 vs Edwards career at Texas.

Not saying your bet at +1.70 is bad, just I haven't pulled the trigger on buy back as of yet because some factors look like the really favor Earnhardt Jr.
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  #6 (permalink)  
Old 10-31-2008, 08:56 PM
Myron Myron is offline
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 2,202

how can edwards be so much faster than earnhardt in practice and so much slower in qualifying?
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