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Talladega - Aaron's 499
2 Qualifying Matchups
Biffle over Edwards -1.05
Harvick over Burton -1.30
Took Kurt Busch a few times in the early matchups, one time vs Bowyer another vs Kenseth. Don't know how you go against Busch in a plate race he has been lights out for years. 15 top 10's, 9 top 5's out of 21 starts.
Took some Kurt Busch Top 3 at 6/1. (7 out of 21 here, 2 out of last 10 at Talladega).
Qualifying tomorrow should be very interesting. Go or Go Home Cars will generally use a qualifying setup for impound races which gives them a big advantage in speed. At the same time since they are bunched up at the end I wonder if they made a deal amongst themselves that none will use a qualifying setup for this race so that those who do qualify aren't at a big disadvantage.
At the same time, even if they use a qualifying setup there is a big advantage at Talladega to go out early since the track heats up. And going out last they may be off the 2 mph or so they can make up with the setup just because of the heat in the track.
If any place took pole bets right now, I would bet on Reutimann and Stewart.
What do you think? I know a lot of people like Dale Jr. today but I am thinking of another HMS driver and after yesterday I still like the guy I had in my column at Docs Sports to win today-especially now that he is starting from the front of the grid. Last week we nailed the 6/1 winner with Johnson but I was hoping he'd run out of gas since my 16/1 longshot Bowyer would have had a much nicer payday. As for Match-ups whatever you do don't take Bowyer today.
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