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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 05-16-2007, 05:18 PM
Crony Crony is offline
Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 3,029
Default Charlotte - Open/Challenge

Taking the Field for the Open at 8/1.

Basically getting:

Read that Toyota is introducing some new equipment at Charlotte and should be a lot faster. Stremme was very fast at the Charlotte test as well.

Short race improves the chances greatly for the lessor teams.
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 05-16-2007, 11:58 PM
fullofpace fullofpace is offline
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 167

haven't said to much this year, but this upcoming weekend might be a good place to take a shot. remember that they are taking the top 2 this year from the open, and a guy like edwards (3/1) would be happy to just get to the challenge race, so i can see him getting into 2nd then just riding along. also the 2nd segment is 20 laps not 10 like last year.

with that in mind i like marlin at 25/1, stremme at 12 and truex jr at 25/1.

all 3 have run good on 20-30 lap runs and with only 1 pit stop the crews can't screw it up for them.
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Old 05-17-2007, 12:18 AM
Crony Crony is offline
Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 3,029


Marlin is 30/1 at Hilton, Sportingbet books, Carib.
The number you got on Truex is 3 times better than anything i've seen.
Would argue the field at 8/1 is better value than 12/1 on Stremme alone but not by a lot.
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Old 05-17-2007, 10:22 PM
fullofpace fullofpace is offline
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 167

agree on the field bet being better value. i can't seem to shack the feeling that mayfield will be a factor in this race.

truex odds are from lvsc nd i got my friend looking for that in vegas.
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Old 05-18-2007, 12:01 AM
Myron Myron is offline
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 2,202

vegas insider shows truex at 20 to 1 and montoya at 15 to 1 but no one has anything close to that. station casinos where these lines supposed to come from have 5 to 1 on truex and 7 to 1 on montoya. so it's all b.s. - kind of like vegas has ridiculously high odds on the oscars which they are only happy to publish since you can't actually bet them there. i think it should be a 4 car race in the open between bowyer, edwards, montoya and truex assuming they qualify o.k. fan vote winner will probably be michael waltrip
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Old 05-19-2007, 04:46 PM
Crony Crony is offline
Join Date: Nov 2000
Posts: 3,029

Picked up some Edwards @ 2.8/1
Montoya 8/1
McMurray 8/1


McMurray over Truex +1.15 no idea why he is a dog in this one
McMurray over Green -1.65 this is not a COT race
Burton over Kahne -1.65 (suckered in by tv commentators talking about how bad Kahne's car is)

Burton over Gordon +1.80
Sorenson over Riggs +1.00

Starting position is fairly big in the Open.
Newman over Mears -1.45
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  #7 (permalink)  
Old 05-19-2007, 05:41 PM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 930

Curlin/McMurray 32-1.
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Old 05-19-2007, 09:16 PM
Hartley Hartley is offline
Join Date: Sep 2000
Posts: 8,963

That rendition of the national anthem was straight out of the Simpsons (Bleeding Gums Murphy). By my watch it lasted 8 1/2 minutes.

Anyways I'm on Johnson for the race and Newman +110 over Biffle in a race matchup.
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