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Auto Club 500
KYLE BUSCH -130/DALE EARNHARDT JR
Average start for Busch at California is 12.2 and has always done well on this type of track while Earnhardt has a average start of 20.2 and has always struggled on this type of track,looks like a no brainer I think.
I guess when it looks to good to be true it usually is.
I eyeballed that but -1.30 looked a little rich.
Still think Busch greater than 50%, just not greater than 56%.
Took the following for 3x
Johnson over Jeff Burton -1.05
Gilliand over Rudd -1.15 (Really like this one, young guy vs old guy)
Bowyer over Truex -1.25
Thinking about taking Stremme over Sorenson.
Sorenson smoked Stremme last year, but Sorenson stunk at California.
Stremme was faster at Vegas testing.(now with banking)
interesting weekend of racing coming up. unlike years past we cannot use the vegas test as a gauge to see who will run well this weekend. and if past results are an indicater of future outcomes then Carl should be really good this week. i'm playing him in all 3 races. his busch car should be an easy winner, while the truck at 6/1 should be racey as well.
truck race travis k at 7/1 is my second choice.
in the busch Carl and kyle will be my 2 plays.
and in the cup
carl, stewart at 10 is great value. long shot plays are sadler and mears.
Martin over Truex 110 to win 100
Yeley over Labonte 100 tw 115
Hamlin over Bowyer 100 tw 120
Montoya over 22.5, 130 tw 100
Mears under 16.5, 115 tw 100
Kurt Busch under 17.5, 125 tw 83.33
Kahne to win race 100 tw 650
thegreek and 5dimes
I hope you guys unloaded on the 17. When I say something like that, it's like finding money in the street. I looked at him today since he was up over 16-1 but decided I didn't really need two Fords in this race.
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