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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 02-08-2007, 12:06 PM
mvbski mvbski is offline
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Default Bud Shootout Preview

Bud Shootout
February 4, 2007
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com


It seems like only yesterday that Jimmie Johnson was crowned Champion while Greg Biffle was winning the season finale in Miami. After a brief vacation through the Holiday’s, the Drivers of NASCAR got back into action with several sponsorship appearances across the country and then a few test sessions between Daytona and Las Vegas.

This weekend the drivers get back into a routine that they’ll see themselves doing the same for each week until the end of November. Saturday night is the Budweiser Shootout from Daytona under the lights nationally televised by FOX. The race is a 70 lap non-points exhibition race consisting of all the drivers who won a pole in 2006 along with past Bud Shootout winners.

The last two seasons have seen the best car sit back and block for their teammate buddy to win the race. In 2005 Jeff Gordon easily had the best car in the field but chose to let Jimmie Johnson get some Daytona excitement. Gordon is a two time winner of the event, Johnson is his protégé, and more importantly the race doesn’t count in the standings.

Last season saw two time Bud Shootout winner Tony Stewart sit back and block for his new rookie teammate Denny Hamlin. In both Gordon and Stewart’s case, they could have, and would have, pressed the issue for a win had it been the Daytona 500.

Having laid that precedence down as a back drop, it leaves the field of 24 starting drivers wide open in what amounts to a glorified sprint race. After looking at the Daytona pre-season testing and looking at what has transpired the last two seasons of restrictor plate racing, it appears there may be only 10 cars in this race that have the possibility of winning. After narrowing down a few of those selections, I think we can be safe by selecting a couple top choices and then one or two medium range to long shot price drivers.

Let’s look at the trio of Hendrick cars driven by Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon, and Kyle Busch to set the pace with Dale Earnhardt Jr and Tony Stewart staying close. As with all plate race dashes, there will be two freight trains of cars, one up high and one low. I think Kyle Busch will be the driver that the Hendrick team tries to get into a plate race winners circle.

Look for a good effort out of the Penske duo of Kurt Busch and Ryan Newman down the stretch. Shop around because the Penske drivers can fetch a good price out there. Kurt Busch and the Miller Lite team would love nothing better to roll up in the Bud sponsored race and take the checkers. Other than the short tracks, plate races have been a place where Busch looks most comfortable.

It’s hard to bet against Dale Jr in the Shootout. In 6 career starts, he has finished no worse than 7th and has an average finish of 3.3. What’s amazing is that he also has the worst average start in the race at 15.8 per. The shootout lineup is done by a drawing. In the one and only Shootout that Junior did win, he started from the last position in 19th.

Though the race is an exhibition, the payday for winning is still all cash. The winner will get $215,000 meaning that the drivers will be all business.

Budweiser Shootout Top 5 prediction:
1) #5 Kyle Busch (12/1)
2) #2 Kurt Busch (15/1)
3) #8 Dale Earnhardt Jr (6/1)
4) #20 Tony Stewart (6/1)
5) #12 Ryan Newman (22/1)

Daytona 500 Qualifying
On Sunday morning the drivers will be qualifying for February 18th’s Daytona 500. The top two drivers will be guaranteed a position for the race. The remaining drivers will have to battle for a spot in the race by competing in one of the two Gatorade Duel 150 races on Thursday the 15th. Each race is a 60 lap dash where about 12 entries will be eliminating from competing in Sunday’s race. The Daytona 500 lineup is set where they finish in the two Duel races. Odds will be available for both 60 lap races on Monday afternoon at Station and Hilton books. The Bud shootout and Daytona 500 odds have been available for over a month at most Sports Books in Nevada.
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Old 02-08-2007, 12:17 PM
mvbski mvbski is offline
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Hard to invest much into this race since it is a crap shoot at best but after looking over the cars and reading some articles it looks like Kurt Busch for me.

Kurt Busch 18/1 @ SIA

I just hope I get paid from SIA if I hit this
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Old 02-08-2007, 08:54 PM
drunkguy drunkguy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mvbski View Post
Hard to invest much into this race since it is a crap shoot at best but after looking over the cars and reading some articles it looks like Kurt Busch for me.

Kurt Busch 18/1 @ SIA

I just hope I get paid from SIA if I hit this
they having problems?



thanks for the pick, threw a few bucks on it myself
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Old 02-09-2007, 09:35 AM
mvbski mvbski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by drunkguy View Post
they having problems?
Haven't heard of any with them which surprises me
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Old 02-10-2007, 03:59 AM
fullofpace fullofpace is offline
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total crap shoot, but the drivers are at least trying to win this one.

2 units harvick 10/1
3 kurt busch 15/1

johnson and gilliad are live plays as well
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Old 02-10-2007, 06:03 AM
h_upmann h_upmann is offline
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I'll try Harvick, too.
1un @ +1565
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Old 02-10-2007, 01:11 PM
Chillin-the-Most Chillin-the-Most is offline
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I didn't read this article until just now. I had already bet Kyle. I am going to bet him in every plate race until he wins. That article pretty much sums up exactly the way I see this race.

M
Did you go to testing in Vegas?
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Old 02-10-2007, 01:50 PM
mvbski mvbski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chillin-the-Most View Post
I didn't read this article until just now. I had already bet Kyle. I am going to bet him in every plate race until he wins. That article pretty much sums up exactly the way I see this race.

M
Did you go to testing in Vegas?
No couldn't get time off from work

The guy that wrote this article was at the testing and gave me some good info though.

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Old 02-10-2007, 02:41 PM
Crony Crony is offline
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1x

Kahne to Win 20/1
Martin to Win 30/1

Matchups for 3x

Kurt Busch over Newman -1.20
Kyle Busch over Jeff Burton -1.15
Kurt Busch over Kyle Busch -1.05
Newman over Jeff Burton +1.05
Kahne over Biffle -1.25
Harvick over Stewart +1.90
Kahne over Kyle Busch -1.05
Kurt Busch over Biffle -1.40
Riggs over Sadler -1.10
Newman over Jeff Burton +1.00
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Old 02-10-2007, 03:26 PM
mvbski mvbski is offline
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For those of you that like chalk

@ CRIS

DALE EARNHARDT JR +600
Field (ALL OTHERS) -1000

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Old 02-10-2007, 09:06 PM
Maniac Maniac is offline
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Didn't see this till now, am on Kahne each way @ 16/1 (365)
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Old 02-10-2007, 10:34 PM
fullofpace fullofpace is offline
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welcome back to all the losers on this site
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Old 02-13-2007, 08:01 PM
heartman heartman is offline
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Why are you calling people on this site losers? What's your fukkin problem dude?
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Old 02-13-2007, 08:38 PM
mvbski mvbski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by heartman View Post
Why are you calling people on this site losers? What's your fukkin problem dude?
He brings so much to the site doesn't he
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Old 02-14-2007, 04:05 AM
fullofpace fullofpace is offline
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i'm sorry, i wrote that while drinking...in my world "losers" is a loving term. I'll try to be better this year.
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Old 02-14-2007, 04:07 AM
fullofpace fullofpace is offline
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The twin 150's are posted by nv books. i like gilliland to got to the front and stay there. some value t 18/1. same with rudd at 10. will post some more later, but since i have had a drink or two, i'll shut it down for now.

i'll try to offer something this year, maybe we can be friends
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Old 02-14-2007, 01:55 PM
mvbski mvbski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chillin-the-Most View Post
I am going to bet him in every plate race until he wins. That article pretty much sums up exactly the way I see this race.
Did you grab some of the 30/1 at CRIS on Kyle for the 500

I did t_u
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Old 02-14-2007, 04:13 PM
heartman heartman is offline
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Apology accepted. Good luck this year!
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Old 02-16-2007, 08:43 AM
Chillin-the-Most Chillin-the-Most is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mvbski View Post
Did you grab some of the 30/1 at CRIS on Kyle for the 500

I did t_u
LMAO

Yes I did!! That had to have been a mistake because they basically just lower the Hilton Odds. If he wins, I'll have a deposit for my first house. Well, a small one anyway.

Why does noone run with him? He has shown time and again that he can get to the front. Is he THAT big of an asshole. Even his teamates hang him out to dry. I mean really, we know his brother is an asshole but everybody runs with him because they know he can draft. Kyle is the biggest red headed stepchild in NASCAR.
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